227
FNUS71 KCTP 282122
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Water Incident...Warren County Public Safety
National Weather Service State College PA
422 PM EST Tue Jan 28 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EST on January 28.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Mostly cloudy skies with intermittent light snow or flurries
will occur tonight across Warren County and adjacent Northwest
Mountains of Pennsylvania in the west to southwest flow ahead
of an arctic frontal boundary.

This front will push southeast across the region on
Wednesday and bring a more significant and widespread threat
lake effect snow bands to the Northwest Mountains and the
potential for a few heavier squalls during the daylight
hours.

Windy conditions are also expected Wednesday with peak gusts
in the 35 to 45 mph range.

Several inches of snow are forecast downwind of Lake Erie
over the Allegheny Plateau and Laurel Highlands through
Wednesday night.

Conditions will improve on Thursday as snow showers end
and winds subside.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Occasional flurries
                    early in the evening. Chance of snow showers
                    overnight, then snow showers likely after 3 am.
Min Temperature.....Around 29.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 9 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 33
                    mph.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  100 98  92  82  76  90  97  100 100 100 100 100
Weather Cov.......  OCL OCL OCL                 CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather Type......  SW  SW  SW                  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  30  30  30  31  32  32  33  33  33  33  33  32
Surface wnd dir...  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Surface wnd spd...  9   9   10  10  11  13  14  15  15  15  15  15
Surface wnd gst...  17  18  22  23  26  29  31  33  33  33  33  33

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow showers likely
                    early in the morning, then snow showers in the
                    morning and early afternoon. Snow showers
                    likely late in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 33.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 15 to 16 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 13 to 14 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusts up to 33 mph.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  100 100 98  94  91  93  95  97  97  97  97  96
Weather Cov.......  LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY
Weather Type......  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  32  31  31  32  32  32  31  31  30  29  28  26
Surface wnd dir...  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Surface wnd spd...  15  15  15  15  15  15  16  16  15  15  14  13
Surface wnd gst...  33  31  31  29  29  29  30  30  30  30  29  26

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Snow showers
                    likely early in the evening, then chance of
                    snow showers in the evening.
Min Temperature.....Around 12.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 6 to 13 mph with gusts to around 25
                    mph in the evening and overnight becoming
                    light.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  94  93  90  86  82  71  61  50  45  39  33  31
Weather Cov.......  LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather Type......  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  25  24  23  22  21  20  19  18  17  15  14  14
Surface wnd dir...  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd...  13  11  10  9   8   8   8   6   5   5   4   4
Surface wnd gst...  25  23  21  17  15  17  16  13  10  10  8   8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 37.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  29  30  28  27  25  26  28  29  30  31  32  43
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  13  13  17  21  24  28  32  35  36  36  37  36
Surface wnd dir...  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Surface wnd spd...  3   3   3   3   4   5   6   8   8   8   8   8
Surface wnd gst...  6   6   6   6   8   10  13  16  16  16  16  16

$$
Forecaster...Lambert
Requested by...Kale Asp
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2501609.0/CTP
.DELDT 01/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kasp@warrencountypa.gov