Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA
Issued by NWS State College, PA
053
FNUS71 KCTP 071808
FWSCTP
Spot Forecast for Terrace Mountain Wildfire 2...DCNR Rothrock State Forest
National Weather Service State College PA
108 PM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 EST on November 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny and warm for early November; mainly clear and cooler
tonight with a decreasing northwest wind. Breezy and continued
mild on Friday with an elevated wildfire spread risk given the
ongoing dryness/drought, sufficiently low fuel moisture, minRH
25-35%, and gusty winds 20-25 mph from the west.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
Min Humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................37 to 47.
TIME (EST) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)........... 60 52 43 35 28
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1
Temp.............. 69 70 66 65 62
RH................ 49 44 48 48 52
20 FT Wind Dir.... NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT Wind Spd.... 7 7 6 6 5
20 FT Wind Gust... 14 13 12 11 10
LVORI............. 1 1 1 1 2
ADI............... 47 47 37 37 37
Haines Index...... 4 4 4 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 40.
Max Humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 to 5.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)........... 22 15 14 12 11 9 8 6 7 7 7 8
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp.............. 59 55 53 51 49 47 46 44 44 43 42 42
RH................ 57 64 69 74 77 83 86 89 86 86 89 86
20 FT Wind Dir.... NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W SW
20 FT Wind Spd.... 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT Wind Gust... 8 6 6 6 5 5 4 5 5 6 5 6
LVORI............. 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 5 5 6 5
ADI............... 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
Haines Index...... 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 67.
Min Humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph with
gusts to 20-25 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 early in the morning increasing to 70 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)........... 8 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 1
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp.............. 42 42 45 49 54 58 62 64 67 66 64 61
RH................ 82 82 79 71 61 51 41 37 33 33 35 39
20 FT Wind Dir.... W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT Wind Spd.... 3 3 4 6 7 9 10 11 11 10 10 9
20 FT Wind Gust... 6 6 8 13 17 19 20 20 21 20 19 19
LVORI............. 4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
ADI............... 13 13 13 51 51 51 70 70 70 70 70 70
Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Eleanor Elliott
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2426042.0/CTP
.DELDT 11/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL elelliott@pa.gov