707
FNUS71 KCTP 180103
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 188...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
903 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on April 18.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...

High pressure overhead will allow the wind to drop off to
nearly calm. The wind will pick up again on Friday as a southerly
flow kicks in and makes gusts into the 20s areawide with the
strongest wind likely to be up in the ANF. The RH will not be
nearly as low on Friday as Thursday as the dewpoints rise a little.

With no fuel moisture concerns through the Easter weekend (per
coordination with PA DCNR/BOF fire weather partners on Wednesday),
the potential for wildfire spread will remain low.

Dewpoints rise Friday night and Saturday. A cold front will bring
some stronger showers and thunderstorms to the region on Saturday.


.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 74.
Min Humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to around 19 mph late in the morning.
Mixing Height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 29 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................9 early in the morning increasing to 86 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  47  35  24  29  35  32  62  58  54  46  39  31
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp..............  39  40  45  50  55  59  63  66  69  71  72  73
RH................  71  74  63  56  51  48  44  42  40  38  38  38
20 FT Wind Dir....  NE  NE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  1   1   2   3   4   6   6   8   9   10  10  10
20 FT Wind Gust...  5   6   6   10  12  14  14  17  18  18  19  19
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.7 0.7 0.8 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.7 4.5
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  S
Transp Wind Spd...  10  9   10  14  15  17  20  22  24  25  29  29
LVORI.............  3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  9   9   9   36  36  36  64  64  64  86  86  86

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....Around 59.
Max Humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph with gusts to around 18
                    mph in the evening becoming light, then
                    becoming southwest around 6 mph after 3 am
                    becoming light.
Mixing Height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 23 mph shifting to the southwest 12
                    to 13 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 to 31.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  36  42  47  45  42  40  45  50  55  61  66  72
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp..............  72  71  68  66  65  63  62  61  60  60  60  60
RH................  40  43  49  53  55  60  62  65  67  67  68  68
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   S   S   S   S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  8   6   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   6   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  18  16  12  11  11  10  8   8   8   8   10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.9 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp Wind Spd...  23  18  15  15  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
LVORI.............  1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
ADI...............  31  31  31  10  10  10  8   8   8   8   8   8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning. Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 82.
Min Humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 13 to 22 mph shifting to the west 24
                    to 28 mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................21 early in the morning increasing to 89 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  74  76  78  75  72  69  67  64  62  60  58  56
Weather Cov.......          SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather Type......          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........                                  SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20
Temp..............  60  62  63  66  69  72  75  77  80  81  80  79
RH................  70  68  66  62  58  55  52  49  46  45  47  49
20 FT Wind Dir....  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   10  9   8
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  10  10  12  14  18  18  19  19  19  19  18
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.9 1.0 1.2 2.0 2.8 3.6 4.3 4.9 5.6 5.2 4.8 4.4
Transp Wind Dir...  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  13  14  15  17  20  22  24  25  28  26  25  24
LVORI.............  4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  21  21  21  58  58  58  89  89  89  82  82  82

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...Darren Krebs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510955.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dakrebs@pa.gov