133
FNUS74 KCRP 160300
FWSCRP

Spot Forecast for Shell Point Ranch...TPWD
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on October 19.
Please contact our office at (361) 289-0959, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

This weekend is expected to have minimum RH values 65-75% along
with east winds 10-15 mph. There is a low (10-20%) chance of
showers and thunderstorms through the weekend.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  73  76  80  82  83  83  83  83  82  80
RH..............94  88  84  77  73  70  67  67  68  70  73
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind dir..100 100 090 090 090 100 100 100 090 090 090
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.16  16  17  17  17  18  18  18  20  20  20
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd dir.100 100 090 090 090 100 100 100 090 090 090
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  11  11  11  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind dir.100 100 110 110 110 100 100 100 100 100 100
Transp wind spd.10  12  14  16  16  16  16  16  17  17  17
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............79  77  76  74  73  72  72  71  70  69  69  67
RH..............75  79  83  87  90  93  92  93  96  96  98  100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind dir..090 090 090 090 090 090 080 080 080 080 080 080
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  18  18  17  17  17  17  17
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd dir.090 090 090 090 090 090 080 080 080 080 080 080
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.12  12  12  12  12  11  11  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind dir.090 090 090 090 090 090 090 090 090 090 090 090
Transp wind spd.18  18  18  18  17  16  16  15  14  13  12  10
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 18 mph increasing to 17 to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  67  70  74  77  79  81  82  84  84  84  83
RH..............100 100 97  89  82  76  71  68  66  63  63  66
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind dir..070 070 070 070 070 070 080 080 080 080 080 080
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.17  17  17  17  17  17  18  18  18  18  18  17
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd dir.070 070 070 070 070 070 080 080 080 080 080 080
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  11  11  11  11  11  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.7 2.5 3.3 3.6 3.8 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind dir.080 080 080 090 090 090 100 100 100 090 090 090
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  15  17  18  20  20  20  20  18  17
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...EVANS
Requested by...Edwin Quintero
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2424253.0/CRP
.DELDT 10/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sr-crp.awareness@noaa.gov,edwin.quintero@tpwd.texas.gov, sr-srh.roc@noaa.gov