Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
299 FXUS64 KCRP 011759 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1259 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1256 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 - Daily moderate to major risk of heat-related impacts. - Low rain chances return Saturday, continue into early next week mainly over the Victoria Crossroads. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1256 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 Again today, convection has remained mainly north of the area through mid-day, closer to a weak mid-level shortwave. We could see a shower/storm or two drop into the northern Coastal Plains this afternoon/evening, mainly the Victoria Crossroads region, but only around a 20% chance of that. Saturday into Saturday evening, as a surface boundary drifts through east/northeast Texas we will see some better mid-level energy approaching, again, mostly for our northeast counties. CAPE is pretty limited, but expect at least a small uptick in activity in that region Saturday afternoon with PWAT values approaching 2.25. Have a low to medium (30-40%) chance noted in the Victoria Crossroads with ~20% for the rest of the coastal bend. This is a minor increase from NBM PoPs, feeling that the combination of the boundary and moisture should be enough to enhance activity a bit. With the high PWAT values, any convection that does develop could produce brief heavy downpours, but area wide rainfall totals remain low (<0.10"). Isolated totals up to half an inch would be possible though. For the rest of the period will keep some low PoPs around the Victoria Crossroads most days into early next week, but most of the area will be dry as high pressure works back in. Temperatures remain above normal daily. Outside of the very near coastal areas, temperatures will be above 95 daily for most locations. Heat index values do start topping 110 over portions of the area the next few days and heat advisories may be necessary. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1256 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 More of the same in the forecast with mainly VFR conditions persisting much of the period. Have included mention of MVFR VIS for ALI/VCT once again Saturday morning. There is a very low chance for convection around VCT this afternoon, then again tomorrow. Tomorrow chances will be a bit higher and if confidence increases may be able to add this into TAFS for the period after 18Z Saturday. && .MARINE... Issued at 1256 PM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025 Onshore flow remains gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) through the weekend and into early next week. There is a low (10-15%) chance of showers and thunderstorms over most of the waters through early next week, but deep waters north of Port Aransas will have a slightly higher (20-30%) chances. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 76 99 77 98 / 0 20 20 10 Victoria 75 99 75 98 / 10 40 40 30 Laredo 79 106 80 106 / 10 10 0 10 Alice 74 102 75 102 / 0 20 20 10 Rockport 80 93 80 93 / 10 20 20 10 Cotulla 79 104 80 104 / 0 20 10 10 Kingsville 75 100 75 99 / 0 10 20 10 Navy Corpus 80 92 80 92 / 0 10 20 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...PH/83 AVIATION...PH/83