Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
348 FXUS64 KCRP 171800 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 100 PM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1253 PM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 - Low (10-20%) chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday across the Victoria Crossroads. - Moderate to major risk of heat-related impacts over the weekend and into the middle of next week with max heat indices of 105-110. - Borderline elevated fire weather conditions next week for Webb County. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1253 PM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 Invest 93L tropical cyclone formation chance has decreased to a low (10%) chance, currently moving west along the northern Gulf and inland over Louisiana. This feature will generally remain north and east of South Texas, only attributing a low (10-20%) chance of showers and thunderstorms over the Victoria Crossroads on Friday. Surface to mid-level ridging will dominate over the Southeast CONUS and influence our region this weekend and continue through the middle of next week. Increasing subsidence and below normal moisture (PWAT < 1.5") will lead to rain-free conditions and seasonal temperatures with highs around 90 along the coast to near 105 over the Brush Country and lows in the mid to upper 70s. Relative humidity dropping below 30% in the afternoons while winds increase to around 20 mph, will increase the risk of elevated fire weather conditions over portions of Webb County. Heat indices will peak to a range of 105-110 daily into the middle of next week, resulting in a moderate to major risk of heat-related impacts. Please take heat safety precautions and visit weather.gov/heat for more resources and information. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1253 PM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 VFR conditions currently prevail across all terminals. There is a medium chance for MVFR ceilings and visibilities across ALI/VCT between 09-13Z, but not as confident to include at LRD/COT at this time. Southeasterly winds this afternoon will be sustained 10-15 knots with gusts around 20, diminishing tonight to below 10 knots. There is a low (10-20%) chance of showers and thunderstorms over the Victoria Crossroads beyond the forecast period, Friday afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 1253 PM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 Mainly gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southeasterly winds with gusts to fresh (BF 5) levels will persist over the waters through the upcoming weekend and into next week. Occasionally higher gusts around 25 knots will be possible from Port Aransas southward to Baffin Bay each afternoon. Rain chances are low Friday and Saturday, decreasing to near 0 through the middle of next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 75 94 77 93 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 74 94 75 95 / 0 20 0 10 Laredo 75 101 77 103 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 73 97 75 97 / 0 10 0 0 Rockport 79 91 81 90 / 0 10 0 0 Cotulla 76 101 78 102 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 73 94 75 95 / 0 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 79 88 80 89 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...EMF/94 AVIATION...EMF/94