Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
635 FXUS64 KCRP 201841 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 141 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 134 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026 - Low to medium (20-50%) chances for showers and storms; lower confidence in precipitation after mid-week - Above-average temperatures remain through the forecast period. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 134 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026 Mid-level high pressure continues, of course, but there is the potential for slightly more interesting things happening at the surface. Low rain (15-25%) chances will return Monday as PWAT values reach 1.7-2.0" and outflow boundaries from storms to the north move toward the coast, colliding with the seabreeze. Low rain chances will continue along the seabreeze Tuesday. The NBM continues to indicate PoP values in the 20-50% range beginning Wednesday but, as the previous forecast mentioned, based on global models and understanding the NBM bias, expect these will continue to trend drier. South of the area, more moisture will result in higher rainfall totals. The NBM may be picking up on this and nudging it a little too far north. Either way, we`ll keep an eye on this and update the forecast as needed. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 134 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026 VFR conditions are expected to prevail, though some periods of patchy fog will be possible at ALI. Relatively light winds will be expected through the TAF cycle. && .MARINE... Issued at 134 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026 Seas will decrease from 2-3 feet to 2 feet seas through Wednesday as light to gentle (BF 2-3) breezes continue. By midweek, gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breezes will develop, with seas increasing to 3-4 feet. A low to medium (20-40%) chance for showers and thunderstorms will develop midweek and continues. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 78 96 77 95 / 0 20 10 20 Victoria 75 100 74 100 / 0 20 0 10 Laredo 77 102 76 100 / 0 0 0 10 Alice 76 99 74 98 / 0 10 10 30 Rockport 80 93 80 93 / 0 20 10 10 Cotulla 76 102 76 101 / 10 0 0 0 Kingsville 76 97 75 97 / 0 10 10 30 Navy Corpus 82 91 82 90 / 0 20 10 20 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...LS/77 AVIATION...LS/77