Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
139 FXUS64 KCRP 240629 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 129 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 127 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026 - Major to Extreme risk of heat-related impacts continue into next week with peak afternoon heat indices nearing or reaching 110 - Fire Danger Statement in effect over most of South Texas from noon to 9 PM. - Daily elevated fire weather conditions over the Brush Country this week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 127 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026 I know you wish you could read something new and interesting, and I know I wish I could write something new and interesting, but I want to be honest: nothing has really changed. High pressure remains centered near the Four Corners region, meandering south-southeast through the week, keeping us hot and dry through the end of the week. There is a very low chance of some seabreeze convection in the afternoons, but most locations will not be lucky enough to see this. Guidance is still hinting at the potential for a disturbance to sneak around the eastern periphery of the ridge around the Friday timeframe. This could lead to some isolated showers and slightly cooler temperatures but, again, this is still pretty far out so we are not getting our hopes up. It is going to continue to be miserably hot for this upcoming week with high temperatures in the 90s along the coast to around 105 inland. Expect we will continue with below normal moisture today and tomorrow which will help keep heat index values below 110 for most of South Texas. Because of this, there is not a Heat Advisory currently issued for today, but we may need to issue a short-fused advisory this afternoon. Moisture begins a gradual return Wednesday through the end of the week, resulting in higher heat index values once again. Heat Advisories will likely be needed Wednesday through the end of the week. Regardless of the slightly lower heat index values, we urge you all to be extremely cautious if you are outside. Cumulative heat stress can lead to increased chances for heat exhaustion or heat stroke. Remember to take breaks in the shade or air conditioning, drink water/electrolytes, and pace yourself if working outside. Don`t leave children or pets in your vehicle, even for short periods of time. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 127 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026 VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF cycle. There is a 35-45% probability of brief MVFR VSBYs and/or CIGs at VCT and ALI early Monday morning, mainly after 08Z to around 14Z. S-SE winds 10-15 knots gusting to around 20 knots expected Monday afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 127 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026 Light to moderate (BF 2-4) onshore breezes will continue through the period, with occasional fresh (BF 5) breezes possible during the late afternoon/evening hours, especially south of Port Aransas. Seas are expected to remain around 2-3 feet. Rain chances will remain near zero through the middle of the week. Mariners should take steps to prevent heat illness as hot temperatures continue. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 127 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026 ERC values have increased across the Brush Country to the 90-96th percentile, with most of the rest of the area in the 70-89th percentile. Humidity values will continue to be low, with minimum RH values below 34% over the Coastal Plains and Brush Country. Winds will remain fairly light, but given the hot temperatures, low relative humidity, and high ERC values, have issued a Fire Danger Statement for most of the area through this evening. Should winds increase more than anticipated, a few locations could experience critical fire weather concerns. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 97 77 97 77 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 103 75 102 75 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 105 78 105 78 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 102 73 102 74 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 92 81 92 81 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 105 76 105 76 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 100 75 100 75 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 91 80 90 80 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...LS/77 AVIATION...TE/81