Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
413 FXUS64 KCRP 221107 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 607 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 602 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026 - Low (20-35%) chance of showers and storms continue this week. - Above-average temperatures remain through the forecast period. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 116 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026 No change from the previous forecast. The NBM has continues to show a low (15-30%) daily rain chances through this week, mainly along the coast and over the Coastal Plains. A few showers and storms could develop along the afternoon seabreeze each afternoon, which could push showers a bit further inland, so we will continue to monitor development. Temperatures will be above average through the week. The good news is that heat index values will generally remain below 110 across the area. Even so, it is important that we all continue to practice heat safety: take breaks when outside, drink plenty of water, and look before you lock. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 602 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026 VFR conditions can be expected to prevail once again. MVFR conditions still remain possible across all sites due to low CIGs and lower VSBYs. Patchy fog also remains possible across a couple sites ALI and VCT, whereas lower CIGs will be possible around LRD and COT. Though confidence is low, VFR conditions will prevail by midmorning through the end of the TAF cycle. Winds will increase this afternoon with the arrival of the seabreeze around 15-20 knots. They will subside this evening and remain light and variable. && .MARINE... Issued at 116 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026 Light to gentle (BF 2-3) breezes with seas around 2 feet with continue through Wednesday. Winds increase slightly to a gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breeze, with a corresponding increase in seas to 3- 4 feet later this week. A low to medium (20-40%) chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue daily. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 116 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2026 ERC values will remain in the 50-69th percentile for much of the region and remain at those levels through the weekend and into next week. Minimum relative humidity values will be above 35% across all of South Texas Thursday through the period. With winds being light, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 93 78 93 79 / 20 10 10 10 Victoria 100 75 101 74 / 10 0 40 0 Laredo 100 76 99 75 / 20 10 20 10 Alice 95 74 95 75 / 20 0 20 10 Rockport 93 79 93 80 / 20 10 10 0 Cotulla 99 75 99 75 / 10 0 10 0 Kingsville 95 76 95 77 / 20 10 20 10 Navy Corpus 90 82 91 82 / 20 10 20 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JCP/84 AVIATION...NP/92