Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
607 FXUS64 KCRP 181118 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 618 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 610 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026 - Rain chances today could limit heat-related impacts - Medium to high rain chances remain in the forecast through early this evening - Minor coastal flooding remains a concern && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 121 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026 Rain chances will remain in the 30-60% range tomorrow before decreasing this weekend to under 15% before rebounding back to the 20-30% range early to mid next week each afternoon with the seabreeze. While warm temperatures will remain warm, heat index values are expected to drop with the increased cloud cover lowering out heat risk for the next couple of days. Will continue to monitor beach conditions over the next few days. A long easterly fetch will develop across the northwestern Gulf over the next few days. This could result in possible coastal flooding, especially during times of high tides and an increased risk of rip currents. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 610 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026 Some MVFR CIGs and VSBYs have shown up overnight across a couple sites (CRP and COT). A low to medium (35-60%) chance for showers and thunderstorms will exist across South Texas. Winds will be easterly around 10-15 knots. Chances for activity dwindle this evening and so will the winds. VFR will prevail through the TAF cycle with some periods of lower CIGs possible near showers and thunderstorms. && .MARINE... Issued at 121 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026 A gentle to moderate (BF3-4) breeze is expected, with occasional periods of fresh (BF 5) breezes through early next week. Low to medium (20-45%) rain chances tonight will increase to a medium to high (30-70%) chance by tomorrow, before decreasing to a low chance once again on Friday. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 121 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026 ERC values will remain in the 50-69th percentile for much of the region and remain at those levels through the end of the week. While ERC values will be decreasing, relative humidity values will be improving above 40% across all of South Texas Thursday into the weekend. Therefore, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 93 77 94 77 / 50 10 10 0 Victoria 98 72 98 73 / 20 0 10 0 Laredo 99 75 101 76 / 30 10 0 0 Alice 95 73 98 73 / 50 0 10 0 Rockport 93 79 92 79 / 40 20 20 10 Cotulla 97 75 99 75 / 30 10 0 0 Kingsville 95 75 96 75 / 60 10 10 0 Navy Corpus 90 81 90 81 / 40 10 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JCP/84 AVIATION...NP/92