Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
440 FXUS64 KCRP 190531 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1231 AM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1136 PM CDT Mon Aug 18 2025 - Medium to High rain chances persisting through this weekend - Highs will be below 100 beginning later this week lasting through the weekend && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1136 PM CDT Mon Aug 18 2025 Current conditions around the region tonight are quiet and warm under mostly clear skies. Heading into Today we will embark on a wetter pattern. The aforementioned shortwaves are expected to continue riding the periphery of the ridge through this weekend combined with PWs generally above 2.25". This is expected to allow for persistent showers and thunderstorms across South Texas until later in the week. PoPs increase to a medium to high (45-75%) as a mid-level disturbance approaches the region from the NE beginning Today, providing a focus for the convection. The increase in PoPs should bring down heat stress conditions across the area during the latter portions of the work week through this weekend, though a gradual warming trend can be expected next week as we dry out. Expected rainfall totals will likely be up to 1" though some isolated higher amounts will be possible. Let`s hope we can get some of this beneficial rain over the reservoir! && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1136 PM CDT Mon Aug 18 2025 VFR conditions under mostly clear skies and light winds can be expected overnight. Patchy dense fog (LIFR) is still possible for a few hours near the ALI terminal toward morning, as has been observed the past few mornings. Although the increase in deep layer moisture should limit the fog over the VCT Terminal. Any fog should burn off by 14z revealing VFR conditions with light southeast winds. Expect a good chance for showers and thunderstorms this afternoon as a mid level disturbance moves southwestward down the Texas coast. Will show Prob30s for most sites beginning around 18z in VCT, 19z CRP and 20z ALI. More uncertain on whether storms will reach the western terminals but if so, it should be after 23z. Convection should dissipate with the loss of heating Tuesday evening with a broken cirrus deck persisting into Tuesday Night. && .MARINE... Issued at 1136 PM CDT Mon Aug 18 2025 A light to gentle breeze (BF 2-3) is expected to prevail this week. Rain chances will return today with a medium chance (30-65%) for each afternoon through the end of the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 96 76 97 77 / 10 0 40 30 Victoria 100 74 97 74 / 20 10 70 30 Laredo 105 78 105 79 / 0 0 20 30 Alice 100 75 100 74 / 10 0 40 30 Rockport 94 79 94 79 / 10 10 40 30 Cotulla 103 77 102 77 / 0 10 20 30 Kingsville 98 75 98 75 / 10 0 30 30 Navy Corpus 91 80 92 81 / 0 10 30 40 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...NP/92 AVIATION...JM/75