Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
572 FXUS64 KCRP 102322 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 622 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 610 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 - Low to medium chance for showers and thunderstorms today through the weekend. - Temperatures will remain near to slightly above normal. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1224 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 Mid to upper level ridging is expected to remain over Texas through the end of the week and will help limit rain development over much of the local area. That being said, we might see some disturbances and vort maxes aloft this afternoon into Friday, along with small pulses of warm moist air moving in from the Gulf. Thus, there is a chance for showers and thunderstorms to develop along the Coastal Bend and further inland over the southern and southwestern portions of South Central Texas through Friday. Chance for rain will decrease over the weekend as drier air moves in, although some coastal locations could see passing showers from time to time. There might be another pulse of warm moisture air from the Gulf pushing in early next week and could lead to a slight increase in showers and thunderstorms. With respect to temperatures, the highs will mainly be in the mid to upper 90s over the inland portions and in the lower to mid 90s over the coastal locations for the next several days. This is roughly 2 to 6 degrees above normal. Heat indices will remain in the upper 90s to lower 100s. Cotto (HGX WFO) && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 610 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 Mostly VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF cycle, with the exception of brief periods of MVFR levels Thursday morning at COT/LRD/VCT sites. A few showers currently in the vicinity of LRD are expected to diminish over the next few hours, but additional showers/storms could develop early Thursday over the marine zones and drift inland. However, confidence on timing and impacted locations is low, therefore have maintained this out of the TAFs for now. Light and variable winds overnight will increase to around 10-12 knots and shift east to southeastward on Thursday. && .MARINE... Issued at 1224 PM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 Light to occasionally moderate east-southeast winds are expected to persist across the Gulf waters for the next several days. There is a medium to high (40-60%) chance for showers and thunderstorms through Friday. As we head into the weekend, rain chances will drop to 20-30% in response to drier air moving into the region. Rain chances could increase again early next week. Cotto (HGX WFO) && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 76 92 77 92 / 10 30 20 40 Victoria 71 95 70 96 / 0 30 0 20 Laredo 74 98 75 97 / 10 30 10 30 Alice 72 95 73 95 / 0 30 20 40 Rockport 78 92 78 92 / 10 30 30 30 Cotulla 72 97 74 97 / 0 0 10 30 Kingsville 73 93 75 93 / 10 40 20 50 Navy Corpus 81 89 81 89 / 10 40 40 40 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Cotto AVIATION...ANM/88