Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
349 FXUS64 KCRP 131829 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1229 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1135 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 - Above average temperatures throughout the forecast. - Low to moderate chances for showers/thunderstorms (30-50%) around mid-week next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1135 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 Our CWA will be under the influence of high pressure throughout the forecast period as a few mid-level Pacific lows affect the western CONUS this weekend and into next week. Not much change from the last several forecasts and confidence remains low that any fronts will move across South Texas until possibly late next week. With it being so far out, have opted to stick with the NBM for PoPs. Most recent guidance suggests best shot for showers/thunderstorms is Thursday with moderate chances across the Victoria Crossroads. Otherwise dry conditions will accompany above average temperatures with some inland locales seeing mid 90s return Monday next week. Overnight lows will warm to the mid to upper 60s by midweek. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1135 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 Had some patchy fog this morning with periods of LIFR VSBYs at VCT/ALI. Expecting similar conditions for tomorrow morning. As onshore flow continues this afternoon with winds gusting to around 25 knots, more moisture will be available and may result in more widespread and/or denser fog. There`s a low 30% chance COT may have LIFR VSBYs as well. Outside of that expect VFR conditions to prevail. && .MARINE... Issued at 1135 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 Moderate southeasterly flow (BF4) will mostly prevail into mid- week next week. Then flow increases to Fresh (BF5) with borderline Small Craft Advisory conditions. Low rain chances across the waters early next week slowly increase to low-moderate (30-50%) chances by Wednesday/Thursday. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1135 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025 Despite very dry fuels with ERC values in the 70-89th percentiles, minimum RH values 35-40% over the Brush Country and inland Coastal Plains and winds generally under 15 mph will mitigate any fire weather concerns throughout the forecast into mid- to late next week. Fuel dryness is not expected to improve much due to lack of significant rainfall but increased moisture will be the primary limiting factor for any fire weather concerns. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 63 83 65 84 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 59 84 58 85 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 64 88 64 88 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 58 87 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 67 81 67 81 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 60 88 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 60 86 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 70 80 70 80 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...BF/80 AVIATION...BF/80