Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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413
FXUS64 KCRP 080711
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
211 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 207 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

- Moderate to Major risk of heat-related impacts each afternoon

- Low chances (10-30%) for seabreeze-driven showers and
  thunderstorms Tuesday and Friday. Greater chances (20-45%)
  Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 207 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

We`ll maintain a low chance for showers and thunderstorms along the
seabreeze this afternoon as heat indices once again will flirt with
Heat Advisory conditions, peaking around 110 over the Coastal
Plains. Heat will remain our primary concern each afternoon this
week, all are urged to continue practicing heat safety.

Rain chances increase (20-45%) Wednesday and Thursday as an inverted
mid-level trough (or low) over the Gulf moves westward into South
Texas, increasing PWAT values to near 2.25" (90th percentile) and
enhancing lift support. Greatest coverage is expected over the
Victoria Crossroads. A series of weak mid-level disturbances along
the southern periphery of the ridge will keep at least low rain
chances over the Coastal Plains through this upcoming weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 207 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

MVFR/VFR conditions expected during the overnight period followed
by VFR conditions and southeasterly winds gusting to 25 kt.
Accompanied by a low 20% chance of rain across eastern terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 207 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

Light south to southeast flow during the morning hours, will
increase to gentle to moderate flow in the afternoon and evening
hours through Thursday. Flow increases to a gentle to moderate with
occasionally fresh this upcoming weekend. Seas will continue to
generally range from 2-3 feet, increasing a foot this weekend. There
will be low to medium rain chances daily.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 207 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

Above normal moisture will continue to negate fire weather concerns
through much of this work week as minimum relative humidity stays
above 30 percent. Daily low rain chances along the seabreeze with
southeasterly winds generally sustained between 5-15 mph with gusts
up to 25 mph. Rain chances increase over the Coastal Plains
Wednesday and Thursday. Elevated fire weather conditions creep back
this upcoming weekend with relative humidity dropping briefly to 25-
30 percent over the Brush Country and winds increasing.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    97  79  95  78 /  20   0  30   0
Victoria         101  77  98  75 /  20  10  50  10
Laredo           104  78 102  78 /   0   0   0  10
Alice            101  75 100  75 /  20   0  20   0
Rockport          94  81  93  80 /  10  10  40  10
Cotulla          103  77 102  77 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        99  77  98  76 /  20   0  20   0
Navy Corpus       91  82  91  81 /  10  10  20  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...BF/80