Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
317 FXUS64 KCRP 101826 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 126 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 124 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026 - Moderate to major risk of heat-related impacts next week, with peak heat indices 110 to 115. - Near 0% PoPs are expected mid-week, with slightly higher chances on Friday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 124 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026 Radar is more active this afternoon with scattered showers and thunderstorms ongoing over the Victoria Crossroads. This activity will continue to move inland and dissipate as daytime heating diminishes this evening. The upper-level picture will begin to shift this week as the Four Corners ridge migrates east, settling over SE CONUS by Friday. Subsidence aloft will stifle seabreeze convection through the week, but some mid-level energy may round the ridge on Friday and increase chances slightly. The song remains the same regarding daily temperatures, with low to mid 90s near the coast, and triple digits west of Highway 281. Increasing low-level moisture will raise dew points near 80 degrees along the Coastal Bend, bringing heat indices up to 110-115 areawide. This corresponds to moderate to major HeatRisk (level 2-3) across the CWA through Friday. A Heat Advisory may be needed on Tuesday, and an issuance is likely on Wednesday. If working outside for extended periods, remember to drink plenty of water and take frequent breaks in shade or A/C. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 124 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026 Scattered showers and thunderstorms have moved onshore in the vicinity of KCRP/KVCT. Held VCSH for KCRP, and kept the PROB30 group for KVCT through 22z for MVFR CIGs and VSBYs due to thunderstorms. VFR conditions will then prevail at all terminals through the TAF period, with gusty winds up to 25 knots expected to diminish overnight. Considered a TEMPO group at KALI for MVFR CIGs (30-40%), but I am not confident the ceiling will exist quite yet. && .MARINE... Issued at 124 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026 Light to moderate onshore breezes will increase to a more moderate breeze, with periods of fresh breezes on Tuesday through the end of the week. Waves generally 2 to 3 feet with a short interval of 4 to 5 feet late Wednesday into early Thursday. PoPs will remain very low (0-5%) throughout the remainder of the forecast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 79 94 79 94 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 77 96 77 97 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 78 104 78 105 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 75 99 75 100 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 81 91 81 91 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 77 104 77 106 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 77 96 77 98 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 82 90 82 90 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...LS/77/NY AVIATION...LS/77/NY