Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
849 FXUS64 KCRP 240534 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1234 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1228 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025 - Low to medium (20-60%) chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly eastern portions of South Texas today and Wednesday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1228 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025 Low to medium rain and thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast through the remainder of the week. The combination of a few passing mid-level disturbances, increased moisture, and daytime instability will contribute to this daily activity. Chances will be at their highest (20-60%) today and Wednesday as PWATs are progged to rise to close to 2.0" across eastern portions of the CWA. In terms of accumulations, these will generally be less than a half an inch through tomorrow, but some of the heavier showers could result in localized higher amounts. The latter part of the week is shaping to be slightly drier (PoPs 10-30%) with PWATs likely falling below normal levels. However, models are indicating an uptick in moisture late in the weekend into early next week, which combined with another disturbance aloft will result in chances increasing back to around (20-40%) across portions of the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. Aside from that, expect near normal temperatures to continue, with a slight increase over the weekend. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025 Less cloud coverage this early morning but could see MVFR ceilings move in out west over ALI/COT/LRD between 09-15Z. Due to mostly clear skies and calm winds, ALI will likely endure IFR/LIFR vsby fog, mainly between 09-13Z. By 15Z, VFR conditions will prevail across South Texas. Southeasterly winds won`t be as strong as the previous day with sustained around 15 knots and gusts 20-25 knots. There is a low to medium chance of showers and thunderstorms over the Victoria Crossroads today. Included VCSH and PROB30s at CRP/VCT to reflect this potential, however I`ve abstained from included TS mention due to low confidence. && .MARINE... Issued at 1228 AM CDT Tue Jun 24 2025 Seasonal gentle to moderate onshore flow is expected through this forecast period. There is a medium (30-60%) chance showers and thunderstorms today and Wednesday, then decreasing to a 10-40% through the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 91 76 91 77 / 20 10 20 10 Victoria 91 73 90 74 / 50 20 60 10 Laredo 98 74 99 75 / 10 10 0 0 Alice 93 73 94 73 / 20 10 20 0 Rockport 89 79 89 80 / 30 20 40 10 Cotulla 98 75 98 75 / 10 10 10 0 Kingsville 92 74 92 75 / 20 10 20 10 Navy Corpus 88 79 88 80 / 20 10 30 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...ANM/88 AVIATION...EMF/94