191
FXUS64 KCRP 241738
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1238 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sat May 24 2025

- Heat Advisory in Effect Today from 1 PM - 7 PM

- Moderate to Extreme Risk of Heat-Related Impacts (level 2/4 out
  of 4)today and Sunday

High pressure will be in control of the forecast for this weekend
leading to clearing skies and increasing temperatures. Highs will
range from the upper 80s along the immediate coast to nearly 105
across the Brush Country. While moisture will diminish a bit this
weekend (PWAT values dropping to around 1.5"), humidity will be high
enough to lead to a moderate to extreme heat risk across much of
South Texas. While very marginal, have decided to issue a Heat
Advisory for the southern Coastal Plains for heat index values up to
111 today. Unless something changes, another Heat Advisory is
likely for Sunday across portions of the Coastal Plains and Brush
Country.

Please use caution if outdoors and remember to remain hydrated and
take frequent breaks. More heat safety information can be found at
weather.gov/heat.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Key Messages:

- Moderate to Extreme risk of heat related impacts across South
  Texas on Memorial Day.

- Low to medium chance of showers and thunderstorms all next week.

Overall, the Extended forecast remains on track for next week.
Beginning Monday night, there will be daily low to at times medium
rain/storm chances (20-40%) due to the combination of several
passing disturbances aloft and slightly above normal moisture.
Aside from that, expect two more days with Moderate to Extreme
HeatRisk Monday/Tuesday afternoons, followed by Moderate to Major
levels Wednesday/Thursday. Out of the Extended period, heat
indices will be at their highest Monday/Tuesday with values in the
105-114 range across the western half of the CWA. Heat Advisories
could be required on later packages, mainly over portions of the
Brush Country and western Coastal Plains. Heat indices will relax
mid to late week, with values generally around 105-110.

**If planning outdoor activities early next week, closely monitor
the weather conditions and prepare to adjust plans to accommodate
frequent breaks to avoid heat-related illnesses. Always, practice
heat safety: drink plenty of water, wear lightweight, loose-fitting
and light-colored clothing, and apply sunscreen. Never leave anyone
in a vehicle unattended and don`t forget to check the backseat!

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

VFR conditions are expected through this evening with gusty winds.
By 05/06z, MVFR ceilings will redevelop as winds lighten to
around 12 knots. Ceilings will lift and gusty winds will return
tomorrow morning around 14/15z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Moderate southeast flow (BF 4) will increase to moderate to fresh
(BF 4-5) late this afternoon and continue through Monday night. A
generally moderate to at times gentle (BF 3-4) breeze can then be
expected Tuesday through the rest of next week. There is a low to
medium (20-35%) chance for showers and thunderstorms Monday night
through Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    80  93  80  91 /  10  10   0  10
Victoria          77  94  77  92 /  10  10  10  10
Laredo            78 103  80 101 /   0   0  10  10
Alice             77  98  78  97 /  10  10   0  10
Rockport          80  88  80  90 /  10  10   0  10
Cotulla           78 104  80 103 /   0   0  10  10
Kingsville        78  96  78  94 /   0  10   0  10
Navy Corpus       80  86  80  88 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ241>244.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LS/77
LONG TERM....ANM/88
AVIATION...JCP/84