Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
076 FXUS64 KCRP 020504 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1204 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1126 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025 - Low to medium chance of showers and thunderstorms continues today. - Moderate to major risk of heat related impacts Wednesday through Friday. - Rain chances expected to return this weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1126 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025 Shower and thunderstorm coverage will gradually decrease today as a weak boundary drifts southward. PoPs will range from around 20-40% across the Coastal Plains to 15-30% farther inland before a drier airmass takes hold by the evening hours. This will bring lower rain chances beginning midweek along with a return to hotter afternoons. Highs will climb into the mid-90s along the coast and near/above 100 degF across the Brush Country, while overnight lows will fall into the low to mid-70s across the region. Residents should continue to exercise heat safety as these summerlike conditions persist. Looking ahead, attention shifts towards the upcoming weekend. Global guidance indicates another disturbance moving into the area, aided by moisture return off the Gulf. While there is still considerable uncertainty regarding timing and track, an uptick in rain chances appears in the cards beginning Saturday and continuing into early next week. Forecast confidence on rainfall amounts and coverage remains low, and more time will be needed to continue to monitor trends in order to refine this forecast. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1126 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025 Mainly VFR conditions overnight with little convection potential. Have added prob30 for LRD late in the night as a minor short wave passes by. With lingering moisture on Tuesday, have maintained probs for convection for ALI/LRD/CRP sites. Mainly VFR conditions should persist through the day with light winds. && .MARINE... Issued at 1126 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025 Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) north-northeast winds will develop today and continue through Wednesday afternoon. A low to medium (30-60%) chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue today before chances diminish this evening. Onshore flow will resume late Wednesday/early Thursday. This moisture return off the Gulf will help to influence the increase in rain chances this upcoming weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 92 76 92 75 / 50 30 30 0 Victoria 91 73 94 70 / 50 40 10 0 Laredo 98 77 98 75 / 30 40 30 0 Alice 94 74 95 72 / 30 30 30 0 Rockport 90 77 92 77 / 40 50 20 0 Cotulla 93 76 98 74 / 30 30 10 0 Kingsville 94 74 93 73 / 50 40 30 0 Navy Corpus 89 79 89 80 / 60 40 30 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KRS/98 AVIATION...PH/83