Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
790 FXUS64 KCRP 121800 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 100 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 ...New DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1213 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 - Low rain chances (20-30%) across the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads this weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1213 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 Isolated to scattered rain chances remain across South Texas this weekend, with activity generally driven by diurnal heating and sea breeze interactions. A weak mid-level disturbance and slightly above normal PWATs will support low chances (20-30%) for showers and storms, particularly across the Victoria Crossroads. Elsewhere, coverage will be more limited, with 20% PoPs or less focused mainly along the seabreeze. Although a mid-level low will pass across North Texas tomorrow, its influence will largely remain to the north of our CWA, keeping local impacts minimal. By early this next week, a gradual drying trend is expected across South Texas as mid-level ridging builds in. This will effectively decrease rain chances across the region beginning Tuesday. Until then, isolated convection may persist Monday, primarily along the seabreeze and in areas where weak mid-level vorticity may linger. Winds will remain breezy through the rest of the weekend, particularly in the southern Coastal Bend where gusts may reach up to 30 mph. Temperatures will trend slightly upward, however, they will remain near seasonal norms. Highs will generally be in the low to mid 90s, with highs progged to reach the upper 90s to triple digits across the Brush Country. Heat risk will respond accordingly, ranging from mostly moderate levels to isolated areas of major across the west where temperatures and heat indices are likely to be highest. Overnight temperatures are expected in the mid to upper 70s, through slightly cooler lows drift in midweek in response to drier air filtering into the region. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 624 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 Mainly VFR conditions are expected through this TAF cycle, with a few MVFR clouds drifting in from time to time across our easternmost sites. There`s a low 20-30% chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms which will mainly impact KVCT through the afternoon hours today. MVFR CIGs and VSBYs are possible in and around any storms. Southeasterly winds gusting to around 25-30 knots will persist until around sunset, with sustained 10-15 knot winds forecast overnight. Have included brief MVFR CIGs for all sites (excluding KVCT) and MVFR VSBYs for KALI late in this TAF period, beginning around 7-9Z for KCOT and KALI with the remaining terminals joining in shortly after sunrise. && .MARINE... Issued at 1230 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 Moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) southeasterly winds will continue over the waters through Sunday, diminishing to more moderate levels through much of next week. Low rain chances (20-30%) remain in the forecast through Monday before mainly dry conditions persist through the remainder of next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 79 92 78 92 / 0 10 10 10 Victoria 77 93 76 93 / 10 30 10 30 Laredo 79 101 78 101 / 10 10 10 10 Alice 77 96 76 96 / 0 20 0 20 Rockport 82 91 81 90 / 10 20 10 20 Cotulla 79 101 78 100 / 10 20 10 10 Kingsville 77 93 77 93 / 0 10 0 20 Navy Corpus 82 89 81 89 / 10 10 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KRS/98 AVIATION...KRS/98