Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
656 FXUS64 KCRP 200529 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1229 AM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1223 AM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025 - Moderate to high (50-70%) chance for showers/storms Thursday, Moderate 30-50% Friday-Saturday. - Marginal risk of excessive rainfall Thursday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1223 AM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025 A relative lull in moisture is progged for Wednesday with PWAT values dropping below 2 inches. While we could still see an isolated sea breeze shower, think coverage will be substantially less than today. We will have to watch for convection drifting south from the Hill country and Central Texas though as a weak boundary pushes south. Models aren`t too excited about it reaching into our CWA, but have bumped up PoPs just a touch to 20 west in the evening. The aforementioned boundary will stall around the area Thursday and Friday and will be the focus for some enhanced coverage of showers and storms. Will keep close to NBM PoPs with 50-70% Thursday and 40- 50% Friday. While most areas should see some rainfall, totals are not expected to be impressive, with most of the area seeing under half an inch of rain. We`ll linger medium rain chances into Saturday before they drop off heading into next week. The stalled boundary will keep a very weak wind pattern across the area through the next. Seasonal temperatures tomorrow will drop back a bit Thursday through Saturday as rain chances and cloud cover increase. Not sure we`ll get another taste of temps in the 70s in the middle of the afternoon though like we saw today! Seasonal temperatures return next week as the mid level ridge that had been stuck over the four-corners region breaks free and drifts over our area. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025 Expect VFR conditions overnight and Wednesday with a high cirrus cloud deck persisting and light and variable winds. Cant rule out an isolated sea breeze shower or thunderstorm Wednesday afternoon but not confident enough to include in terminals. Given the high clouds, fog potential is reduced for the morning. But included some light fog (4 miles, MVFR) for Victoria since they has some precip yesterday. && .MARINE... Issued at 1223 AM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025 A light to gentle breeze (BF 2-3) is expected to prevail through the period with a weak wind pattern over the region. Low rain chances Wednesday will increase Thursday and Friday as a weak boundary stalls in the region. Rain chances decrease Sunday into next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 95 75 96 76 / 20 10 50 40 Victoria 99 75 96 73 / 20 30 70 60 Laredo 101 78 101 77 / 30 30 50 40 Alice 99 74 98 74 / 20 10 60 40 Rockport 94 79 93 77 / 20 20 50 50 Cotulla 101 78 98 76 / 20 20 70 50 Kingsville 97 74 98 75 / 20 10 50 30 Navy Corpus 91 80 91 80 / 20 10 40 40 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...PH/83 AVIATION...JM/75