602
FXUS64 KCRP 242338
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
538 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 327 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

Highs will continue to be above normal through tomorrow ahead of our
next cold front tomorrow night. Highs are expected to be in the mid
to upper 80s with some areas in the Brush Country approaching 90
degrees by tomorrow unfortunately. Lows however tomorrow night
will dip in to the 50s with the possibility for some upper 40s in
the norther portions of the area. With winds being increased due
to a tightening pressure gradient a Small Craft Advisory will be
in effect through tomorrow morning for winds around 20-25 knots.
Otherwise we will continue to remain dry as moisture will continue
to remain low in the region.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 327 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

Our first of several cold front will be moving through the region as
we open up the long term forecast. With little moisture in place,
this will be a dry FROPA. We will see some cooler temps in the wake
of this front with highs generally in the low to mid 70s and lows in
the mid 50s to mid 60s. Unfortunately this relief does not last long
as onshore flow quickly returns, allowing highs to rebound into the
mid to upper 80s on Wednesday.

Thanksgiving Day is trending slightly colder across South Texas as
an upper level trough digging through the Midwest sends another cold
front our way. The boundary looks to move through during the day so
have knocked highs down a few degrees. CAA in the wake of this front
will drop our lows down in to the 40s for our inland areas. Those
along the coast will remain in the 50s. At this point, we can`t rule
out some locations across the Northern Coastal Plains and Victoria
Crossroads dropping into the 30s. There is currently a 30-50% chance
of temps less than 40F. A reinforcing surge of high pressure will
help keep temps on the cooler side as we head through the weekend.
Moisture begins to return on Saturday which will bring low end rain
chances back into the forecast across the Coastal Bend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 533 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

Moderate to strong south-southeast winds late this afternoon will
relax as we head into the evening and overnight hours to 5-10
knots. Although VFR conditions will prevail across much of South
Texas, mostly clear skies and dewpoints in the 60s with light
winds poses a low to medium threat of fog over the inland Coastal
Plains. Therefore, have kept a TEMPO of vsby reductions over
ALI/VCT from 10-14Z. Knowing how prone these terminals are to fog,
we`ll have to keep a close eye on how dense the fog develops. Not
as strong of south- southeasterly winds tomorrow with sustained
around 15 knots and gusts up to 25.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 327 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

Moderate to strong southerly winds is expected to persist through
tonight, leading to Small Craft Advisory conditions. Winds will
gradually decrease Monday before relaxing to moderate levels
Monday night. A moderate to occasionally strong northerly flow
will develop in the wake of a weak front on Tuesday. Winds will
weaken and shift back to the southeast overnight Tuesday into
Wednesday. Onshore flow will increase to moderate levels on
Wednesday in advance of another cold front. That front will move
offshore during the day on Thursday with a strong northerly flow
developing late Thursday into Friday. Winds will gradually relax
through the day Friday while shifting back around to the east-
southeast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    65  87  59  75 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          61  88  51  76 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            62  87  59  74 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             61  90  57  76 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          68  82  57  74 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           60  86  55  72 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        63  89  59  76 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       71  81  62  73 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for GMZ231-232-236-
     237-250-255-270-275.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...NP/92
LONG TERM....TC/95
AVIATION...EMF/94