Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
366 FXUS64 KCRP 051110 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 610 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 606 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 - Low to medium (20-40%) rain chances through Saturday, decreasing to around 20-30% early next week. - Low to moderate risk of heat-related impacts. Please continue to take heat safety precautions. Visit weather.gov/heat for more resources. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1245 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 A mid-level ridge axis over the Four Corners associated with a high centered over northwestern Mexico will gradually shift eastward into portions of TX through the weekend. This will result in northeasterly flow across our region. Meanwhile remnants of storm activity further north will drift southward keeping our rain chances low to moderate (20-40%) today. Another round of storm activity northwest of our CWA Sunday will help to keep rain chances around 20- 30% mostly west. Daytime highs this weekend into early next week will range in the mid 80s to mid 90s inland, with heat indices around 100 degrees up to 105 in some locales. Overnight lows will generally hover in the mid/upper 70s. Then rain chances will remain near zero with mostly sunny skies. Rain chances quickly taper off by Sunday evening as PWATs drop to around (1.70") which is near normal. Another round of showers Monday and Tuesday (20-30%) mainly along the Coast and the Victoria Crossroads can be expected in response to an approaching weak inverted trough, as it drifts westward across the Gulf and into South Texas. Rain chances for the second half of the week remain near zero as PWATs continue to decline to around 1.50" by Friday. Highs for the remainder of the week will trend upward slightly into the mid 90s to around 100 inland with heat indices between 105-110. Overnight lows will remain warm and muggy around the mid 70s to around 80 along the coast. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 606 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 A few sites will begin this TAF cycle in MVFR conditions before improving to VFR later this morning. Once all sites get to VFR conditions, they are expected to remain there unless impacted by a thunderstorm which could result in MVFR conditions. Our best chances for showers and thunderstorms will be across VCT and COT this morning and afternoon. While other sites don`t have precipitation mentioned in te TAFs, showers and thunderstorms are still possible, just didn`t have enough confidence to include in the TAF. && .MARINE... Issued at 1245 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 A moderate (BF 4) onshore breeze will become a gentle to moderate breeze (BF 3-4) Sunday. Flow will then increase to moderate (BF 4) across most of the waters by late Wednesday/early Thursday. Low chances (20-30%) for showers/thunderstorms are expected for this weekend through Tuesday across the waters. Followed by mainly dry conditions through the remainder of the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 88 76 91 76 / 20 10 20 10 Victoria 88 74 92 74 / 40 10 20 0 Laredo 94 77 94 75 / 20 10 20 10 Alice 90 74 93 73 / 30 10 20 10 Rockport 88 80 89 80 / 30 10 10 10 Cotulla 93 77 94 75 / 30 20 30 10 Kingsville 88 75 91 75 / 20 10 20 10 Navy Corpus 87 80 89 80 / 20 10 20 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...BF/80 AVIATION...JCP/84