995
WTPA34 PHFO 071143
TCPCP4

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lowell Intermediate Advisory Number 45A
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP122026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM HST Mon Sep 07 2026

...RAINBANDS FROM LOWELL SPREADING OVER KAUAI AND OAHU...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 163.0W
ABOUT 415 MI...670 KM SW OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Kauai County, including the islands of Kauai and Niihau
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihoa to
French Frigate Shoals

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

Interests elsewhere in the Hawaiian Islands and the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument should monitor the
progress of Lowell.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM HST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lowell was located
near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 163.0 West. Lowell is moving
toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). A north-
northeastward to northward motion at a faster forward speed is
forecast through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of
Lowell will move across portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine
National Monument, just west of the main Hawaiian Islands, tonight.
Lowell is then forecast to turn toward the northwest and slow down
by early Wednesday after passing the Hawaiian Islands.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts. Lowell is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is expected through
Tuesday. However, Lowell is forecast to remain a hurricane as it
passes near the Hawaiian Islands.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb (28.06 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lowell can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP4 and WMO header WTPA44
PHFO.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in Kauai County beginning
this afternoon or evening. Wind speeds atop and on the windward and
leeward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent
stronger than the near-surface winds.

Hurricane conditions are expected in the Papahanaumokuakea Marine
National Monument between Nihoa and French Frigate Shoals tonight,
with tropical storm conditions beginning this afternoon.

RAINFALL: Hurricane Lowell is expected to produce additional
rainfall totals of 6 to 10 inches for Kauai, with maximum totals of
14 inches possible. For the Big Island, 4 to 8 inches of rain is
expected with isolated totals of 12 inches possible. For Oahu, 4 to
6 inches of rain is expected with isolated totals of 8 inches
possible.  For Maui, 2 to 4 inches of rain is expected, with
isolated maximum totals of 8 inches possible. Across the remaining
islands, rainfall of 2 to 4 inches is possible. This rainfall may
produce significant flash flooding and mudslides, especially across
Kauai county and portions of the Big Island.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Hurricane Lowell, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep12.shtml?rainqpf

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Kauai County...1-3 ft
Oahu...Up to 1 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by
large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp4.shtml?peakSurge.

TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible near Kauai and Niihau
this afternoon through tonight. A few tornadoes are also possible
across the remainder of the Hawaiian Islands.

SURF: Swells from Lowell are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions during the next several days across
many of the Hawaiian islands. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Blake