276
FXUS61 KCLE 191914
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
314 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will persist over the area through the weekend
before gradually shifting towards the Mid-Atlantic Coast by
Tuesday and Wednesday. A cold front will move east across the
area Wednesday and Wednesday night before high pressure builds
back in on Thursday and Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure continues to influence the region through the near
term period, gradually sinking south and becoming centered over
the southern Appalachians. Above normal high temperatures by
~10 degrees are expected with near normal low temperatures.
Some patchy frost is possible tonight in low-land parts of east-
central Ohio.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure remains in control through the short term period with
no QPF or PoPs forecasted through Tuesday night. A subtle shortwave
aloft moves overhead on Tuesday night which will increase cloud
cover near the end of the short term period.

Above average temperatures as highs rise into the low/mid 70s across
Northwest Pennsylvania and Northeast Ohio with mid/upper 70s along
and west of I-71. Overnight lows will settle in the mid to upper 40s
Monday night and upper 40s to lower 50s Tuesday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Upper trough and accompanying strong surface cold front will enter
the local area late Wednesday. PoPs will gradually increase from
northwest to southeast Wednesday afternoon onward as the front
swings across the region. Lake effect rain showers as flow remains
northwesterly behind the front across Northeast Ohio and Northwest
Pennsylvania Thursday and Friday.

High temperatures Wednesday will rise into the lower 70s ahead of
the cold front. Much cooler behind the front as highs Thursday will
struggle to get out of the mid 50s. Highs will gradually return near
normal in the lower 60s by Friday and Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/...
VFR conditions with clear/sunny skies are expected through the
TAF period. Lights winds of 5 knots or less out of the south
this afternoon (outside a weak lake breeze within a few miles of
the lakeshore). Winds become light and variable tonight before
becoming 5-10 knots out of the west and southwest tomorrow.

Outlook...Non-VFR with scattered rain showers possible Wednesday
afternoon into Wednesday night.

&&

.MARINE...
Mainly quiet marine conditions under high pressure. Southwesterly
winds increase tomorrow to 10-15 knots with wave heights building to
1-3 feet across open water zones in the central and eastern basins.
Elevated southwesterly winds persist under a tight pressure gradient
into early Monday. Southwesterly to southerly winds decrease below
10 knots by Monday night as the high exits to the east before
southerly winds increase to 15 knots ahead of a cold front Tuesday
night. The actual front will swing south across the lake Wednesday
night with winds turning northwesterly and increasing to 15-25 knots
behind the front. Will likely need a small craft for strong winds
and onshore flow leading to wave heights building to 3-5 feet
Wednesday through early Thursday. High pressure enters near the end
of the week which will allow for winds to decrease and waves to
subside Thursday and Friday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Saunders
NEAR TERM...Saunders
SHORT TERM...Iverson
LONG TERM...Iverson
AVIATION...Saunders
MARINE...Iverson