730
FXUS61 KCLE 140603
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
203 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build across the area today and tonight
before departing to the east. Low pressure crossing the Great
Lakes Sunday will push a cold front southward toward Lake Erie,
with this front hanging in the vicinity early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
High pressure centered over the Georgian bay extends a ridge
across the area through today and tonight, before gradually
departing to the east on Friday. Cold air advection will bring
temperatures down closer to near normal with humidity levels
becoming more manageable. It should actually be a really nice
day today. Temperatures will be back on the rise Friday with
southerly flow on the backside of the departing high, though
humidity levels will remain relatively low with dew points in
the low to mid 60s. A light lake breeze is expected during the
Friday afternoon hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Hot temperatures return this weekend, with highs in the upper 80s to
low 90s on Saturday and Sunday. Humidity will also be on the rise,
particularly on Sunday when dew points in the low to mid 70s return.
A weak cold front crosses the region on Sunday and/or Sunday night,
with isolated showers and thunderstorms expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The aforementioned cold front weakens as it wavers across the
broader region. In general though, we are expecting periods of
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, with the current
PoP forecast in a low 20-30% range. Weak forcing in model guidance
and just general expectation for low precipitation coverage prevents
higher PoPs for any one period. There are some weak indications of
marginal severe weather or localized heavy rain at some point, so
we`ll have to keep an eye on that. Temperatures should tend to
moderate through the long term forecast, with highs dropping to the
low 80s by Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/...
Patchy fog and low stratus will continue to develop at inland
terminals over the next few hours. IFR/LIFR conditions are
likely at KMFD/KCAK/KYNG early this morning with MVFR conditions
more likely at KTOL/KFDY. Can`t rule out MVFR conditions briefly
reaching as far north as KCLE/KERI so have added TEMPO groups
for a few hours early this morning. Any non-VFR conditions will
improve to VFR as diurnal mixing develops by mid-morning. VFR
will continue through the remainder of the TAF period as high
pressure builds into the region.

Light and variable winds are expected through 12Z with northeast
winds increasing to 5 to 10 knots this afternoon through this
evening. Winds will become light and variable after 00Z.

Outlook...VFR conditions are expected through Sunday morning.
Non-VFR possible in scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday
afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure will build over the region today into the weekend,
yielding calm marine conditions through Saturday. Winds will be
out of the northeast at 6 to 12 knots early this morning before
diminishing below 10 knots this afternoon. Wind direction will
become more easterly by Friday morning with flow becoming
southerly Saturday. Winds will shift to the southwest and
increase to 6 to 12 knots as a cold front approaches from the
northwest Saturday night before shifting to the northwest behind
the front Sunday afternoon. High pressure will return to the
Great Lakes region on Monday, allowing winds to become
northeasterly.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Saunders
NEAR TERM...Saunders
SHORT TERM...Saunders
LONG TERM...Saunders
AVIATION...15
MARINE...15