969
FXUS61 KCLE 181350
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
950 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will persist into the start of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
9:30 AM Update...
Expired the frost and freeze headlines this morning. Full
sunshine will allow temps to moderate fairly quickly leading to
a pleasantly warm mid October day. Happy Friday!


630 AM Update...
Slight adjustments were made to temperatures to reflect current
observations, but no other changes were needed with this update.

Previous Discussion...
Pleasant fall conditions will persist into the weekend as high
pressure remains dominant east of the Mississippi River. This
will keep conditions dry with mostly clear skies. These clear
skies will allow the daytime highs to climb into the mid to
upper 60s today. These will warm a bit more on Saturday as clear
skies mixed with southwesterly winds and WAA bring temperatures
close to 70 for many areas. Overnight lows will still remain
quite cold, dropping into the low to mid 30s as a result of
increased radiational cooling. As a result to these
temperatures, frost and freeze conditions remain possible across
the area tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Low RH atmosphere and surface high pressure will continue to
dominate the sensible weather as we head through the end of the
weekend and into early next week. With 850mb temperatures into the
low/mid teens, enough insolation and primarily southwesterly surface
flow allows for upper 60s to 70s across the CWA, with Monday
slightly warmer than Sunday. Very quiet weather pattern for mid
October overall.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Finally getting into a pattern change in the extended portion of the
forecast. Upper level low ejects out of the four corners region to
the mid Mississippi Valley, filling while it tracks eastward. Should
become an open wave by the time it reaches the southern Great Lakes
and do not anticipate much more than some cloud cover at this point.
This will be followed quickly by a cold front from a higher
amplitude trough axis aloft in the norther stream. Finally get into
some POPs again for the Wednesday through Thursday time frame, and a
cooler airmass trending for the end of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
Widespread VFR conditions with mostly sunny/clear skies are
expected to persist through this TAF period as high pressure
remains dominant over the area. In addition, winds will
generally be light and variable across the area with a potential
weak land breeze developing tonight at KERI and KCLE with a
period of southerly winds 6 knots or less possible after sunset.

Outlook...VFR expected through Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Quiet lake conditions under high pressure with winds generally
southwesterly through the weekend and nearshore wave heights around
a foot or less. Southwest winds increase to 10-15kts ahead of a cold
front Wednesday which could increase the nearshore wave heights to
around 2 feet from Cleveland eastward through Dunkirk.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Campbell
NEAR TERM...Campbell/Garuckas
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...26
AVIATION...Campbell
MARINE...26