508
FXUS61 KCLE 041055
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
655 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure settled over the Great Lakes and Northeast
will continue to influence the local area through mid-week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Quiet and primarily dry weather continues under the influence of
high pressure through the near term. Smoke from Canadian wildfires
may creep into the region through the near term, primarily
concentrated along and north of the lakeshore. A Code Orange Air
Quality Alert has been issued for today by the Pennsylvania
Department of Environmental Protection for Erie and Crawford
Counties in PA. On Tuesday a weak surface trough accompanied by a
shortwave aloft may provide enough support for an isolated shower in
the afternoon primarily across southwestern forecast zones.
Currently maintained slight chance (20% or less) PoPs in the
vicinity of Findlay and Marion Tuesday afternoon and early evening.

Temperatures will gradually increase as southerly return flow enters
the region early this week. High temperatures today rise into the
lower 80s with mid 80s likely by Tuesday afternoon. Low temperatures
tonight will settle in the low 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure across the Great Lakes continue to impact the region
through the short term period as it gets absorbed by another area of
high pressure over Canada. An area of low pressure off the Atlantic
Coast that is currently Tropical Storm Dexter will likely block the
surface high from exiting the eastern Great Lakes and Northeast
regions through the short term. High temperatures in the mid 80s and
low temperatures in the mid to upper 60s are favored through mid-
week. Guidance continues to favor a dry forecast under the influence
of the high pressure and little to no forcing.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The high looks to finally exit the region by the weekend with shower
and thunderstorm chances slowly increasing by Sunday as an upper
level trough and surface cold front approach from the Upper Midwest.
High temperatures will creep back into the upper 80s late this week
into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
Some MVFR haze/mist has expanded across NW PA and NE OH this
morning with the cooler night with lows falling to the dew
points in the 50s. This lower visibility should mix out of KYNG
and KERI over the next hour or two. High pressure will continue
to control the region with dry weather and VFR conditions. Some
high ceilings will advect in later this morning into the
afternoon. Winds will be generally easterly, although KERI and
KCLE will likely have some changing wind directions with
lake/land breezes. There is some low potential on non-VFR
mist/haze occurring again tonight, but overhead clouds should
limit this threat.

Outlook...VFR largely expected through Friday. There are very
low chances for showers and storms every afternoon from Tuesday
through Friday that could pose a non-VFR threat.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure over the northeast United States will allow for
benign marine weather conditions this week. Winds on the lake
will be dominated by lake and land breezes. Winds during the
afternoon and evening hours will be east to northeast, generally
10 kts or less. Overnight winds will be south to southeast, also
10 kts or less. The resultant waves will be 2 feet or less
through the period.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for PAZ001>003.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...13
NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...13
AVIATION...Sefcovic
MARINE...Sefcovic