222
FXUS61 KCLE 071941
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
341 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Cold front swings southeast across the region through this
evening before high pressure builds overhead Tuesday into
Wednesday. Low pressure moves into the Ohio Valley region
Wednesday night into Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
A strong cold front currently draped across Northwest Ohio will
continue to push southeast across the local area through this
evening. Rain showers this afternoon and early evening will
transition to light/moderate snow showers this evening as 850mb
temperatures drop to the -10 to -15C range. Total accumulations
across much of the eastern half of the forecast area should
remain below an inch. Higher amounts between 1-2 inches are
possible across Northwest Pennsylvania where lake effect snow
and a Lake Huron connection may stick around through Tuesday
morning. Otherwise, snow showers will largely exit the region
overnight tonight as a ridge of high pressure begins to build
overhead from the west.

Chilly overnight lows dip into the mid 20s areawide tonight and
Tuesday night. Highs on Wednesday will vary with mid to upper
30s across Central and Northwest Ohio and low to mid 30s across
Northeast Ohio where lake effect cloud cover lingers through the
afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
The mid and upper level weather pattern will be a broad west-
northwest flow during the middle of this week. A shortwave will
track along in this west-northwest flow across the Upper Midwest on
Wednesday. At this surface, a low pressure system will develop near
the Cornbelt of the Midwest Wednesday. Rain showers will develop
across the Upper Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes region Wednesday
into Wednesday night. The track of this low will move right over
northern Ohio before it pivots towards the eastern Great Lakes
region on Thursday. Rain showers will be likely late Wednesday
through Thursday with average QPF of 0.50 to 0.75 on an inch of
rainfall expected. POPs will tapering off from west to east Thursday
night. High temperatures will only be in the middle to upper 40s on
Wednesday. Overnight low temperatures will be in the middle to upper
30s Wednesday night. High temperatures will in the lower to middle
50s on Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
An upper level trough will be over Great Lakes region down towards
the Tennessee River Valley on Friday. Underneath this trough, it
will be overcast and cool on Friday with a few lingering rain
showers. High temperatures will only be in the middle to upper 40s.
The upper level trough begins to pull away on Saturday with
conditions slowly improving. Upper level ridging moves in by Sunday
with sunshine returning by the end of the weekend. High temperatures
on Sunday will climb into the middle 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/...
A cold front will sweep southeast across terminals this
afternoon and evening. Rain showers will continue to enter from
the northwest ahead of the cold front and move southeastward
before transitioning to snow between 22Z/Mon and 00Z/Tue. These
rain/snow showers may briefly drop ceilings and visibilities
down to MVFR. Behind the cold front, MVFR ceilings between 2.5
and 3kft will likely linger for a few hours across eastern
terminals before lifting to 5kft overnight tonight.

Westerly winds 10-12 knots ahead of the cold front will turn
northwesterly and increase to 15-18 knots sustained with gusts
25-30 knots possible through late this evening. Elevated
northwesterly winds to 12 knots with gusts to 20 knots will
persist through the TAF period.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible Wednesday night through Thursday
night in precipitation with the next low pressure system moving
into the area.

&&

.MARINE...
Southwest winds this afternoon will quickly shift from the northwest
15 to 30 knots behind a strong cold front. Small Craft Advisories
have been issued for these gusty northwest winds and higher waves
late this afternoon through Tuesday. Northwest winds 15 to 30 knots
will continue tonight and decrease to 10 to 20 knots during the
Tuesday. High pressure builds in over the lake Tuesday night with
lighter winds. A light southeast winds 5 to 10 knots will return on
Wednesday. Winds will increase Wednesday night 15 to 20 knots from
the east-southeast. An additional Small Craft Advisory will likely
be needed Wednesday night through Thursday if not into Friday. East
winds 15 to 20 knots will continue on Thursday becoming northwest 15
knots late in the day. Northerly winds 10 to 20 knots will continue
Thursday night into Friday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Tuesday for LEZ142>144.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT Tuesday for LEZ145>147.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Tuesday for LEZ148-149.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...13
NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM...77
AVIATION...13
MARINE...77