Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
501
FNUS71 KCAR 130950
FWSCAR
Spot Forecast for Baileyville Wildfire...Baileyville Fire Department
National Weather Service Caribou ME
550 AM EDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on August 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact NWS Caribou at 207-492-0166 with any further questions.
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and Humid conditions will continue today. No measurable rainfall
is expected through this afternoon. Showers are likely on Thursday
along with the chance of a thunderstorm.
Weather Coverage Abbreviations... SCH=Slight Chance, ISO=Isolated,
CHC=Chance, SCT=Scattered, LKY=Likely, NUM=Numerous,
DEF=Definite, WID=Widespread, OCL=Occasional, PDS=Periods,
ARS=Areas, PTY=Patchy
Weather Type Abbreviations... DYT=Dry Thunderstorms, TSM=Thunderstorms,
SN=Snow, RN=Rain, SW=Snow Showers, RW=Rain Showers,
DZL=Drizzle, FZR=Freezing Rain, FZD=Freezing Drizzle, SLT=Sleet,
FZF=Freezing Fog, IFG=Ice Fog, HAZ=Haze, BSN=Blowing Snow,
SMK=Smoke, FST=Frost, FZS=Freezing Spray, RS=Rain/Snow,
DZF=Drizzle/Fog, SNF=Snow/Fog, RNF=Rain/Fog,
ZRS=Freezing Rain/Snow
Other Abbreviations... NA=Not Available, M=Missing
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south around 4 mph in the
afternoon.
Wind shift..........
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (39700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 12 increasing to 19 late in the morning,
then increasing to 34 early in the afternoon
increasing to 48 early in the afternoon
increasing to 58 decreasing to 40 to 47 late in
the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25 20 15 10 5 3 4 11 13 14 14 11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 10
Temp............67 69 71 76 80 85 87 89 90 90 89 86
RH..............81 78 76 66 58 51 48 44 42 42 44 48
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..1 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.2 4 4 5 6 7 10 10 11 11 12 11
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst. 3 3 4 5 5 7 8 8 8 9 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.0 3.3 2.7 2.1
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 7 7 9 10 12 12 13 15
LVORI...........5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............3 6 6 7 12 19 34 48 58 47 42 40
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 2 3 5 8 13 23 32 40 33 29 27
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...13 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 4 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Wind shift..........
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18900 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (2000 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............4 in the evening and overnight.
ADI.................28 decreasing to 4 to 11 in the evening and
overnight.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........11 16 32 53 55 61 58 62 68 78 86 90
Weather cov..... ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............83 80 76 73 71 69 67 67 65 65 65 65
RH..............53 58 66 73 79 84 90 93 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.11 10 10 10 8 8 7 6 7 6 6 6
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.14 12 9 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 4 5 6 6 M M M M
ADI.............28 11 4 5 5 4 4 4 M M M M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..19 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Areas of fog
early in the morning. Showers likely and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
showers and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 80 percent.
Chance of thunder...37 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Wind shift..........
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest
around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............MISSING.
ADI.................MISSING.
Pcpn amount.........0.59 inches.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the morning.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........93 80 82 82 80 78 80 82 84 86 87 89
Weather cov.....ARS CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....FOG RNF RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20 30 60 60 70 70 70 70 80 80 80 80
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 0 0 0 20 20 20 40 40 30 30
Temp............65 67 69 72 74 76 77 77 77 77 77 76
RH..............100 100 97 90 87 82 82 82 82 82 79 79
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW W W W NW N
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 3
20 FT wind gust.6 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 6
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S S SW SW W W W NW N
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 2 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.6
Transp wind dir.S SW S SW SW W W W W NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.6 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
LVORI...........M M M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 2 5 8 10 11 12 12 12 11 11 10
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...DUDA
Requested by...Captain John McPhee
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519804.0/CAR
.DELDT 08/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rescue200@pwless.net