Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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217
FNUS51 KCAR 161844
FWFCAR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northern and Eastern Maine
National Weather Service Caribou ME
243 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

.DISCUSSION...
Wetting rain is expected for most areas late tonight into Monday.
There is still significant uncertainty where the heaviest rain
will occur, but most areas will get over one quarter inch. Very
high RHs tonight through Monday night. Friday and Saturday are
the
next days with potential RHs as low as 35 to 45 percent.


MEZ101-170800-
Quebec-Maine Borderlands-
243 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          90           40           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 16(LTD)      18(LTD)      10           16(LTD)
Temp (24h trend)      56 (+12)     69 (-3)      56           76
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+2)     79 (+31)     100          52
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.23         0.28         0.05         0.00
Precip duration       5            8            2            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM         6 PM
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             2300                      5270
Transport wnd (kts)                W  9                      S  4
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  24930                     28560
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Marginal
CWR                   100          80           10
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         <200

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ102-170800-
North Woods and St. John Valley-
243 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          100          60           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 15(LTD)      19(LTD)      14           18(LTD)
Temp (24h trend)      56 (+11)     67 (-6)      57           75
RH % (24h trend)      98 (0)       80 (+33)     100          59
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S  5                      Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  5        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.21         0.33         0.09         0.01
Precip duration       4            9            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   11 AM
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM         Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1730                      4670
Transport wnd (kts)                SW 11                     E  5
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  23630                     28390
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Marginal
CWR                   100          90           20
KBDI                  <200         <200         <200         <200

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ103-170800-
Eastern Aroostook-
243 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Rain         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           100          70           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 8            20(LTD)      18(LTD)      17(LTD)
Temp (24h trend)      57 (+12)     66 (-9)      58           73
RH % (24h trend)      97 (0)       74 (+29)     100          65
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S  9 G21                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      S  9 G21     S  6 G18     Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.15         0.39         0.11         0.01
Precip duration       3            11           4            1
Precip begin          9 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1930                      3450
Transport wnd (kts)                S 17                      E  6
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  45070                     24720
Dispersion                         Fair                      Marginal
CWR                   100          100          30
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ105-170800-
Central Highlands-
243 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          100          60           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 15(LTD)      19(LTD)      16(LTD)      18(LTD)
Temp (24h trend)      57 (+9)      67 (-7)      59           76
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+5)     86 (+39)     100          64
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S  8 G18                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      S  7 G17     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.41         0.43         0.09         0.03
Precip duration       5            9            3            1
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1670                      3620
Transport wnd (kts)                S 14                      E  6
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  31970                     27750
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Marginal
CWR                   100          100          20           10
KBDI                  201-300      <200         <200         <200

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ106-170800-
Central Maine North of Bangor-
243 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Rain         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           100          70           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 7            17(LTD)      18(LTD)      17(LTD)
Temp (24h trend)      59 (+10)     67 (-10)     59           74
RH % (24h trend)      99 (+6)      80 (+38)     100          73
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S  8 G18                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      S  8 G18     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.22         0.32         0.12         0.04
Precip duration       4            9            7            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             2090                      2740
Transport wnd (kts)                S 17                      E  7
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  41760                     22070
Dispersion                         Fair                      Marginal
CWR                   100          100          30           10
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ108-170800-
Interior Downeast-
243 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Rain         Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           80           70           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 3            9            8            15(LTD)
Temp (24h trend)      58 (+7)      66 (-11)     59           73
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+10)    80 (+35)     100          82
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S  7 G18                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      S  8 G18     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.06         0.22         0.15         0.04
Precip duration       3            8            8            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1930                      2530
Transport wnd (kts)                S 17                      E  8
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  38270                     20430
Dispersion                         Fair                      Marginal
CWR                   40           90           40           10
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ112-170800-
Coastal Downeast-
243 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Rain         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     50           70           70           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 3            6            6            12
Temp (24h trend)      57 (+4)      66 (-8)      58           74
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+13)    83 (+33)     100          81
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S  8 G20                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      S  8 G20     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.03         0.15         0.16         0.06
Precip duration       1            7            8            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1400                      2070
Transport wnd (kts)                S 15                      NE  7
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  28880                     19080
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Poor
CWR                   30           60           50           10
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ113-170800-
Bangor Region-
243 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Rain         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          100          60           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 8            16(LTD)      16(LTD)      17(LTD)
Temp (24h trend)      59 (+8)      67 (-11)     60           75
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+8)     85 (+40)     100          76
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S 10 G21                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   S  5         S  9 G20     S  5 G17     Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.28         0.36         0.13         0.04
Precip duration       5            8            4            1
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1940                      2660
Transport wnd (kts)                S 16                      NE  8
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  33890                     22210
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Marginal
CWR                   100          100          40           10
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ114-170800-
Eastern Penobscot Bay Coast-
243 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Rain         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance precip (%)     80           80           70           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 4            9            10           13
Temp (24h trend)      59 (+5)      67 (-8)      59           78
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+12)    87 (+37)     100          75
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S 10 G21                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      S  9 G21     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.09         0.17         0.14         0.02
Precip duration       3            7            6            1
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1610                      2370
Transport wnd (kts)                S 16                      NE  8
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  29200                     19040
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Poor
CWR                   80           70           40
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$