Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FNUS51 KCAR 161806
FWFCAR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northern and Eastern Maine
National Weather Service Caribou ME
206 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front approaches from northwest tonight, then crosses Maine
from northwest to southeast from early Sunday morning into Sunday
evening. High pressure then builds down from southern Canada through
Monday. There is the potential for around 1/4 to 2/3 of an inch of
rain from tonight into Sunday night. Winds should be less than 10
mph through Monday with some potential for wind gusts to 15 to 20
mph late Sunday night and Monday.


MEZ101-170830-
Quebec-Maine Borderlands-
206 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Chance precip (%)     20           80           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 14           15(LTD)      0(None)      0
Temp (24h trend)      51 (+4)      70 (-11)     39           66
RH % (24h trend)      94 (+2)      55 (+21)     91           33
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                NW  5                     N  5
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      N  6         Lgt/Var      N  5
Precip amount         0.04         0.57         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       0            8
Precip begin          4 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   6 PM
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             4030                      5880
Transport wnd (kts)                N 12                      N 10
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  75620                     77790
Dispersion                         Good                      Good
CWR                   20           100          0            0
KBDI                  201-300      <200         <200         201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ102-170830-
North Woods and St. John Valley-
206 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Showers      None
Chance precip (%)     10           80           10           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 14           17(LTD)      0(None)      0
Temp (24h trend)      52 (+5)      73 (-9)      39           67
RH % (24h trend)      91 (+3)      60 (+28)     91           33
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                W  5                      N  6
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      N  6         N  5         N  5
Precip amount         0.02         0.50         0.05         0.00
Precip duration       0            7            0
Precip begin          5 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   7 PM
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             3380                      6280
Transport wnd (kts)                N 12                      N 10
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  68460                     93650
Dispersion                         Good                      Very Good
CWR                   10           100          80           0
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ103-170830-
Eastern Aroostook-
206 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Mclear       Clear
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Showers      None
Chance precip (%)     10           70           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 12           21(LTD)      0(None)      0(None)
Temp (24h trend)      54 (+6)      74 (-9)      41           67
RH % (24h trend)      90 (+2)      64 (+29)     97           35
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                SW  5 G18                 N  8 G18
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      N  8 G18     N  6 G18     N  7 G17
Precip amount         0.01         0.33         0.05         0.00
Precip duration       0            6            1
Precip begin          5 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   9 PM
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             2690                      6360
Transport wnd (kts)                N 13                      N 13
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  58000                     93260
Dispersion                         Good                      Very Good
CWR                                100          90           0
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ105-170830-
Central Highlands-
206 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
Chance precip (%)     0            70           50           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 5            24(LTD)      6            0(None)
Temp (24h trend)      56 (+3)      81 (-2)      43           69
RH % (24h trend)      94 (+19)     54 (+23)     93           33
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   N  7 G18
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      N  7 G17     N  7 G18     N  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.24         0.06         0.00
Precip duration                    5            1
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   10 PM
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             3510                      5980
Transport wnd (kts)                NW 10                     N 10
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  44680                     79100
Dispersion                         Fair                      Good
CWR                   0            100          100          0
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ106-170830-
Central Maine North of Bangor-
206 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip type           None         Tstms        Showers      None
Chance precip (%)     0            70           70           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 2            25(ELEV)     10           0(None)
Temp (24h trend)      56 (+5)      83 (-1)      45           70
RH % (24h trend)      97 (+11)     56 (+20)     98           32
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                Lgt/Var                   N  7
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      NW  7 G18    N  6 G17     N  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.27         0.16         0.00
Precip duration                    4            2
Precip begin                       9 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   1 AM
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             3630                      6020
Transport wnd (kts)                W 10                      N 12
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  46740                     80130
Dispersion                         Fair                      Very Good
CWR                   0            100          100          0
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ108-170830-
Interior Downeast-
206 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance precip (%)     0            50           70           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0(None)      27(ELEV)     16(LTD)      0(None)
Temp (24h trend)      56 (+3)      83 (+2)      48           72
RH % (24h trend)      99 (+10)     65 (+19)     100          36
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S  5 G17                  N  8 G18
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      SW  7 G18    N  6 G17     N  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.25         0.20         0.00
Precip duration                    1            3
Precip begin                       1 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   2 AM
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             2980                      5890
Transport wnd (kts)                SW 11                     N 12
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  37140                     76590
Dispersion                         Fair                      Good
CWR                   0            100          100          0
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ112-170830-
Coastal Downeast-
206 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance precip (%)     0            40           70           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0(None)      27(ELEV)     19(LTD)      0(None)
Temp (24h trend)      55 (+1)      81 (+4)      49           75
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+8)     68 (+13)     100          35
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S  5 G17                  N  7 G19
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      S  8 G18     N  5         N  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.21         0.24         0.00
Precip duration                    1            4
Precip begin                       3 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   3 AM
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             1960                      5950
Transport wnd (kts)                SW 13                     N 10
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  30340                     74660
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Good
CWR                   0            100          100          0
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ113-170830-
Bangor Region-
206 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance precip (%)     0            80           70           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0(None)      31(ELEV)     18(LTD)      0(None)
Temp (24h trend)      56 (+3)      86 (+2)      48           73
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+16)    54 (+11)     99           32
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S  5                      N  8 G20
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   S  6         S  8 G20     N  8 G18     N  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.33         0.20         0.00
Precip duration                    3            2
Precip begin                       1 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   12 AM
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             4400                      5910
Transport wnd (kts)                SW  9                     N 11
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  47220                     73790
Dispersion                         Fair                      Good
CWR                   0            100          100          0
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

MEZ114-170830-
Eastern Penobscot Bay Coast-
206 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
Chance precip (%)     0            50           70           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0(None)      30(ELEV)     22(LTD)      0(None)
Temp (24h trend)      58 (+3)      84 (+4)      50           76
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+12)    69 (+14)     98           35
20ftWnd-val/AM(mph)                S  6 G17                  N  8 G18
20ftWnd-rdg/PM(mph)   Lgt/Var      S  8 G18     N  7 G18     N  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.31         0.27         0.00
Precip duration                    1            3
Precip begin                       2 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   2 AM
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL/MSL)             2190                      5840
Transport wnd (kts)                S 12                      N 11
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  34040                     73700
Dispersion                         Marginal                  Good
CWR                   0            100          100          0
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. West winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$