315
FXUS61 KCAR 160126
AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
926 PM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
- Current Beach Hazards Statement allowed to expire.

- New Beach Hazards Statement issued from 8 AM to 8 PM Sunday.

- Updated aviation discussion.
&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Fair weather this weekend will give way to a return of rain
Sunday night through Monday.
&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Fair weather this weekend will give way to a
return of rain Sunday night through Monday.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
High pressure continues through the day on Sunday, keeping dry
weather and light winds in place. Temperatures remain mild, with
highs in the 70s across the forecast area. Clear skies tonight
into early Sunday morning will allow for efficient radiational
cooling and could result in low temperatures dipping into the
upper 40s across the north, and lower 50s Downeast.

The left exit region of an incoming jet streak aloft Sunday
night into Monday will support an incoming low pressure system,
with rain entering our area from the west after midnight Sunday
night. There is increasing consensus that a coastal low will
develop along a front as it crosses the CWA, which could
locally enhance rainfall amounts Downeast. Rainfall totals may
approach or even exceed an inch through the day on Monday,
particularly in areas of upslope flow such as the Central
Highlands and into the Bangor region due to the development of
the coastal low.
&&

.AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Overnight: Variable conditions with any patchy fog late.
Otherwise, VFR. Light and variable winds.

Sunday: VFR. Light and variable winds, becoming south/southwest
5 to 10 knots.

Sunday night-Monday night: VFR trending towards MVFR/IFR
in rain showers. Fog possible Monday night. S winds 10 to 15
kts with gusts 20 to 25 kts possible, becoming light and
variable Monday night. LLWS possible.

Tuesday-Tuesday night: VFR. N wind around 5 kts becoming
variable overnight.

Wednesday: VFR early, with increasing chance for MVFR/IFR from
KHUL northwards into the afternoon as showers and thunderstorms
move into the area. SW winds 5 to 10 kts with gusts to 20 kts.

Thursday: Improving towards VFR. Winds W to NW at 5 to 10 kts.
&&

.MARINE...
Winds below 20 kts and seas below 5 ft across all waters tonight
through Sunday. Wind gusts may approach 25 kts on the outer
waters on Monday, while seas lift towards 3 to 6 ft Monday
afternoon. Coastal waters could see marginal small craft
advisory criteria Monday afternoon through Monday night before
seas diminish once more into the day on Tuesday. Rain late
Sunday night into Monday could limit visibility at times.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...Beach Hazards Statement from 8 AM EDT Sunday through Sunday
     evening for MEZ029-030.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AES
AVIATION...AES/CN