


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
170 FXUS61 KCAR 110620 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 220 AM EDT Mon Aug 11 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will remain ridged southeast of the region through Tuesday night. A cold front approaches from the northwest on Wednesday, then crosses the area Wednesday night and Thursday. High pressure then builds down from Southeastern Canada behind the front through Friday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... ...Heat Advisories continue through Tuesday... Hot and Humid weather continues today through Tuesday. 500 MB ridge will remain across the region as surface high remains off the mid atlantic coast. 925MB temperatures max out at around 27C across the interior yielding high temperatures this afternoon and again Tuesday afternoon in the lower to mid 90s. Dew points in the upper 60s to near 70 will result in very uncomfortable conditions this afternoon. Apparent temperatures will range from the mid 90s to perhaps near 100 degrees in some areas inland from the coast. Tonight will be mainly clear and muggy. Some late night patchy fog is possible along the coast. Lows tonight will fall back into the mid to upper 60s in most areas. The upper ridge begins to weaken somewhat by Tuesday but it will still be another hot day with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s for much of the region inland from the coast. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... Warm temperatures will continue Tuesday night through Wednesday night, with southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching front. Overnight lows both Tuesday night and Wednesday night will be in the low to mid 60s across the region, and with dewpoints in the same range, there will not be much relief from daytime mugginess. Highs on Wednesday will be very slightly lower than Tuesday, but still close to 90 across the board and the heat advisory may need to be continued. Wednesday night, a pre- frontal trough will cross the area, bringing the possibility of showers and thunderstorms. However, models continue to show this shortwave weakening and drying out as it moves into the high, so precipitation may be somewhat limited. It appears that the heaviest rainfall will be restricted to the mountains, the North Woods and northeastern Aroostook County, so Bangor and Downeast are unfortunately not going to see much relief from the developing drought. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... On Thursday, the main upper level trough will cross the area and bring some relief for the heat. The chance for showers and thunderstorms extends through Thursday, although again, QPF amounts look negligible and this is not promising for drought relief. Temps Thursday through Friday will be closer to normal, and dewpoints will drop significantly, making the air mass a more comfortable one. High pressure will build back in over the area Friday afternoon and Saturday, so temperatures will gradually increase, but are unlikely to return to the highs seen earlier in the week. The next chance for a front bringing showers and thunderstorms will be on Sunday, with a stronger cold front expected to cross the region. This may bring a little more rainfall to all areas as well, but really is the first chance for improving dry conditions for the whole week. && .AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR conditions are expected at all the terminals through Tuesday. the only exception is the possibility of patchy late night and early morning fog mainly vicinity KBHB. S to SW wind 5 to 10 kt. SHORT TERM: Tuesday night-Thursday night...VFR, except for a brief period of MVFR or IFR possible in any stronger convection. S-SW winds 5 to 10 kts through Wednesday. G15-20KT possible Wednesday afternoon in showers or thunderstorms. NW winds 10 to 15kts Thursday. Friday...VFR. NW wind 10 kts. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: Winds/seas will remain below SCA levels through Tuesday. Visibility may be reduced at times to around 1 NM late night and early morning fog. SHORT TERM: Winds and seas will remain below small craft advisory through the period. Seas 2 to 4 feet. && .CLIMATE... Record high temperatures are possible in some locations both today and Tuesday. Records Highs for Monday Aug 11: Caribou: 92 in 2020, forecast high 94 Houlton: 91 in 2020, forecast high 94 Millinocket: 96 in 1944, forecast high 95 Bangor: 99 in 1944,forecast high 92 Record Highs for Tuesday Aug 12: Caribou: 93 in 1944, forecast high 93 Houlton: 92 in 2020, forecast high 93 Millinocket: 94 in 1944, forecast high 94 Bangor: 100 in 1944, forecast high 94 && && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...Heat Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for MEZ001-002-005-006-011-015>017-031-032. MARINE...None. && $$ Near Term...TWD Short Term...LF Long Term...LF Aviation...TWD/LF Marine...TWD/LF Climate...Maloit