Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
658 FXUS61 KCAR 041135 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 735 AM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... - 7:35AM UPDATE...12z TAF Update. See aviation section below. No other major changes with fog slowly lifting and mixing out in some locations. This will be a slow process this morning. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Showery conditions today through Saturday. Areas of fog this morning which could be locally dense. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Showery conditions today through Saturday. Areas of fog this morning which could be locally dense. KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Surface low pressure exits across the Maritimes today, with a trof extending back across the forecast area, while an upper low begins to move south across the region. Showers will persist across the region today, with the better chances across northern areas. Could also have the slight chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. The surface/upper lows vertically stack across the Maritimes tonight into Saturday, slowing the movement of the system. A disturbance moving around the Maritimes system will rotate across the region Saturday. Shower chances will persist tonight into Saturday. The system then exits Saturday night into Sunday. Additional rain totals today through Saturday will generally range from a tenth up to around a quarter of an inch. Abundant low level moisture will support areas of fog this morning which could be locally dense. && .AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... UPDATE for 12z TAFs... Today...IFR/LIFR this morning through 14z, then becoming VFR/MVFR this afternoon. Showers likely north, a chance of showers Downeast. An isolated afternoon thunderstorm also possible. Variable winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north. Tonight...Variable conditions with any fog. Otherwise, VFR/MVFR early then MVFR/IFR overnight. Isolated/scattered showers. North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north/northeast 10 to 15 knots. Saturday...VFR/MVFR. A slight chance/chance of showers. North/northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 to 25 knots. Saturday night through Sunday...VFR. N winds 5-10 kts. Sunday Night through Monday...VFR. Light and variable winds, becoming NW around 5 to 10 kts Monday. Monday night through Tuesday...VFR with possible MVFR cigs at northern terminals late Monday night, becoming VFR Tuesday. W/NW winds 5 to 10 kts. && .MARINE... Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels today through tonight. Wind gusts could approach small craft advisory levels Saturday. Marginal SCA criteria winds possible on coastal waters on Saturday night with gales possible in outer waters. Seas peak at 4 to 7 ft on the outer waters and 2 to 4 ft on the coastal waters Saturday night. Winds decrease below criteria on the coastal waters Sunday morning. Below SCA criteria through Tuesday. Isolated showers today into Saturday. Areas of fog today, patchy fog tonight. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...CN/JS AVIATION...ARL/CN/JS/MB