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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
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321 FXUS61 KCAR 231447 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 947 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2025 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will cross the region today through early tonight. High pressure will cross the region Monday. Another frontal system crosses the region Tuesday into Wednesday. Low pressure will cross the region Thursday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 9:45AM Update...Updated temperatures to match observations, as temperatures rise quickly this morning. Expanded precipitation line south to account for a chance of showers along the immediate coastline this morning. Otherwise, forecast on track. Previous Discussion... A cold front and upper level trof will cross the region today. Expect scattered/numerous snow showers across northern and central portions of the forecast area today with snow accumulations generally an inch or less. Across Downeast areas, expect isolated/scattered snow showers with any snow accumulations less than an inch. Otherwise, expect cloudy/mostly cloudy skies today. High pressure then begins to build across the region tonight. Any lingering snow showers will end during the evening, with clouds then decreasing overnight. High temperatures today will range from the upper 20s to around 30 north, to the lower to mid 30s Downeast. Low temperatures tonight will range from around zero to 5 below north, to 5 to 10 above interior Downeast with 10 to 15 along the Downeast coast. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... High pressure will slide east off the New England coast and out into the open waters of the Atlantic on Monday. Southerly flow around the high will bring milder air into northern and downeast Maine. After a sunny start, clouds will be on the increase by afternoon in advance of the next short wave. There is the chance of light snow by late afternoon across the North Maine Woods of far Northwest Maine. otherwise dry elsewhere. Afternoon highs Monday will be near seasonable levels, with low 30s north and mid to upper 30s central and downeast areas. Expect mainly cloudy skies Monday night along with a period of light snow, mainly from the Katahdin region northward, as a weak warm front lifts northeast across the region. Any steadier precipitation will exit the region early Tuesday morning followed by mainly cloudy skies and chance to slight chances of a snow or rain shower. Afternoon highs on Tuesday will be above normal, with highs in the lower 40s regionwide. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... The next short wave crosses the region Tuesday night bringing the chance for snow showers north and rain/snow shower for Bangor and Downeast. The forecast area remains in remains in overall zonal flow for Wednesday with generally dry conditions. Low pressure will approach Wednesday night with increasing clouds. Low pressure crosses the region Thursday and Thursday night with snow/rain across northern areas and rain for Bangor and Downeast. The low exits to the east by Friday with a turn to colder weather. Another low approaches by Saturday with another chance for snow. Afternoon highs will be above normal Wednesday and Thursday, the near normal Friday and Saturday. && .AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR/MVFR, occasional IFR, across the north and mountains today through early tonight with snow showers. VFR overnight. VFR, occasional MVFR, Downeast today with isolated snow showers. VFR tonight. Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots today. Variable winds 5 to 10 knots tonight. SHORT TERM: Mon...VFR. S wind. Mon night...MVFR/IFR. Snow north and snow/rain south. LLWS possible. Tue...MVFR/IFR. Scattered snow/rain showers. Tue night and Wed...MVFR/IFR becoming VFR/MVFR Wed night and Thu...MVFR/IFR, Snow/rain. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels today through tonight. Isolated snow showers this morning. SHORT TERM: Winds/seas will generally remain below SCA levels on Monday. then increase to SCA levels Monday night. There is the potential to see a few gusts up to 35 kt Monday night. SCA conditions will then persist through Tuesday. Winds/seas will then subside through mid week. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...None. && $$ Near Term...Brennan/Norcross Short Term...TWD Long Term...TWD Aviation...Brennan/Norcross/TWD Marine...Brennan/Norcross/TWD