069
FXUS61 KCAR 081202
AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
802 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will push off the coast today. High pressure will build
in from the Great Lakes tonight into Thursday and slide south of our
area Friday into Saturday. High pressure will rebuild to our north
on Sunday as low pressure intensifies along the Mid Atlantic
coast.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
735AM Update... Updated Aviation and Marine sections below.

Previous Discussion...A strong cold front will be about half
way across our area early this morning continuing to press south
and supporting a solid band of rain. Strong convergence along
the front and much cooler air undercutting moist air out ahead
of it will produce rain, heavy at times, as the front continues
south. The cold front will push off the coast late this morning.
Rain will taper off from north to south ending Downeast behind
the front late this afternoon. Western and Northern parts of our
area will have partial clearing well behind the front late this
afternoon.

High pressure building in from the Great Lakes will push much cooler
air south across the area tonight into Thursday. Lows tonight will
fall below freezing in some northwestern areas and down to around 40
along the coast under a mostly clear sky and a gusty northwesterly
wind.

High pressure continuing to build toward the area Thursday will
bring a blustery and cold day with a gusty northwesterly wind. Highs
will range from the upper 40s north to the mid 50s along the coast.
Sunshine will mix with cumulus clouds across the north and far
northern areas may be mostly cloudy for a while under
a stratocumulus layer. Southern areas will turn out mostly
sunny.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure will build to the southwest of the area Thursday night
with mainly clear skies and light winds. Since the high will not be
centered directly over us, some concern that we will not maximize
full radiational cooling potential.  Also, some higher cloud will be
on the increase later Thursday night. Still, felt confident enough
to lower the NBM mins just a bit for overnight lows Thursday
night. Lows will range from the mid to upper 20s north and upper
20s to lower 30s for Bangor and Downeast. Widespread frost is
expected regionwide, even down to the coast.

High pressure builds to our south on Friday. The return southwest
flow around the high and warmer temperature advection will allow
high temperatures to reach the mid to upper 50s in most areas,
with a few 60 degree readings not totally out of the question.

Friday night will see high pressure continue to slip south of the
region. Expect mainly clear to partly cloudy skies and a milder
night, with lows ranging from the lower to mid 30s north and
mid 30s to near 40 near the coast.

Saturday will be mostly sunny as a weak front cold front slides
down from the north. Afternoon highs on Saturday ahead of the
front climb into the low 60s north and low to mid 60s for the
Bangor region and Downeast.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Looks like a mainly dry pattern will persist Saturday night and
Sunday as a ridge of high pressure builds in from the north. low
pressure will be near the mid atlantic region into early next
week. Looks like the strong high across the region will remain
in place and keep any rainfall with that system to our south, at
least through Monday and possible longer. Afternoon highs look
to be near, or slightly above the seasonal norms for this time
of year.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM:
Today...IFR across the north early this morning improving to
MVFR late this morning, then VFR this afternoon. IFR Downeast
this morning improving to MVFR this afternoon, and VFR this
evening. Northern terminals have winds from the NW at 10 kts,
gusting around 20 kts during the day. Southern terminal winds
from the S/SW this morning, before quickly shifting to the NW
behind the passing cold front, around 10-15 kts gusting up to 25
kts.

Tonight...VFR. Winds NW 10 kt gusting to 20 kt.

Thursday...VFR. Winds NW 15 kt gusting to 25 kt.

SHORT TERM:

Thu night through Sun...VFR. Mainly light wind.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM:
A SCA will be up early this morning for SW winds gusting up to
30 kt for both the intracoastal and offshore waters. The SCA
will remain up for all waters for seas 6 to 7 ft subsiding to 5
ft early this afternoon. Winds will diminish later this
afternoon as the cold front moves over the waters.

SHORT TERM: Wind/seas mainly below SCA levels through the
period.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for
     ANZ050>052.

&&

$$


Near Term...MB/ASB
Short Term...TWD
Long Term...TWD
Aviation...MB/ASB/TWD
Marine...MB/ASB/TWD