914
FNUS72 KCAE 210910
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for LCRD C-304 BB1...USDA FS
National Weather Service Columbia SC
410 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Fog should be in the process of clearing out at the burn site by
ignition time at 9am, lifting to a stratus deck. Winds will
strengthen out of the southwest throughout the morning with gusts
around 15 mph expected this afternoon; gusts over 20 mph are not
expected on Friday. An approaching front should keep winds elevated
overnight and rain chances increase Friday night into Saturday. The
showers will be scattered however and the burn site has a ~40%
chance to see rain by early Saturday. Some additional fog-reduced
visibility is possible tonight as a result. Winds will strengthen
out of the southwest for the remainder of Saturday with gusts
20-25 mph expected by late morning and the afternoon. Scattered
showers and isolated storms expected across west-central SC late
Saturday morning and afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 14 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................7 early in the morning increasing to 64 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  72  68  69  65  38  42  55  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  68  73  77  79  80  81  80  78
RH..............93  84  71  62  58  55  52  53  56
Aparnt tmp (F)..63  68  73  77  79  82  82  81  78
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind dir..210 220 230 230 240 240 240 240 230
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   9   9   12  13  13  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.8 3.6 3.9 3.0 1.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind dir.220 230 240 240 250 250 250 250 230
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   9   12  13  14  12  9
LVORI...........6   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............7   11  17  24  40  55  64  43  14

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain in the evening, then chance of rain and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming southwest
                    around 5 mph after 3 am. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................4 to 7.

TIME (EST)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........42           23           50
Weather cov.....                          CHANCE
Weather type....NONE         NONE         RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0            10           30
Temp............74           65           62
RH..............64           81           91
Aparnt tmp (F)..74           65           62
20 FT wind......SW 5G12      SW 3G10      SW 3G12
20 FT wind dir..220          220          240
Mix hgt (ft)....500          400          400
Transp wind dir.210          240          260
Transport wind..SW 9         SW 9         W 12
LVORI...........3            5            6
ADI.............6            4            5

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Slight chance of
                    rain in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 17 mph.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................10 early in the morning increasing to 83 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........60           52           37
Weather cov.....CHANCE       S CHC
Weather type....RAIN         RAIN         NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC        S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40           20           10
Temp............62           71           78
RH..............100          87           65
Aparnt tmp (F)..62           71           78
20 FT wind......SW 5G12      W 7G15       W 8G16
20 FT wind dir..230          250          260
Mix hgt (ft)....400          1600         3700
Transp wind dir.250          250          270
Transport wind..W 9          W 15         W 17
LVORI...........8            4            1
ADI.............10           32           78

$$
Forecaster...Gropp
Requested by...James Atkins
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526474.0/CAE
.DELDT 11/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.atkins@usda.gov