131
FNUS75 KBYZ 142201
FWSBYZ

Spot Forecast for Smith Piles...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Billings MT
401 PM MDT Tue Oct 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 MDT on October 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Overnight into Wednesday morning, precipitation is expected to fall
mostly as rain. However, as surface temps approach or fall below
freezing, there is a small chance (10%) for freezing rain and/or a
few snowflakes. Through the day Wednesday, any precip will mostly fall
as rain, although the best chance for significant precip (and the best
chance for snow) arrives late Wednesday and continues into Thursday.
At this time, there is high confidence in at least 0.10" liquid precip
Wednesday evening into Thursday evening, with some of that falling as a
few inches of snow. Any snow is unlikely to remain on the ground for
long once precip switches back to rain during the day Thursday. By
Thursday evening, the chance for precip quickly decreases.

Daytime highs will generally be in the upper 30s to low 40s, with
overnight lows near or slightly below freezing. Winds will be mostly
light before picking up Thursday afternoon, with gusts around 20 to
30 mph at times into the weekend.

.OVERNIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers, becoming
                    scattered rain showers after 3 am.
CWR.................40 percent.
Min temperature.....31-35.
Max humidity........91-95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
 Ridgetop...........South around 10 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 to 15 mph.

TIME (MDT)      MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........71  81  81  73  81  85
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............33  34  34  34  34  34
RH..............85  81  83  85  86  86
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   5   5   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely in the
                    morning, then chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent.
Max temperature.....42-46.
Min humidity........83-87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
 Ridgetop...........South around 10 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 1900 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 20 mph.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  96  87  77  73  67  63  66  71  74  74  74
Weather cov.....CHC LKY CHC         CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............34  33  33  33  36  39  40  41  44  44  43  43
RH..............89  91  89  93  93  91  91  90  86  86  86  85
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SE  S   SW  S   SE  S   S   NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the evening,
                    then becoming snow overnight. Snow likely after
                    3 am.
CWR.................50 percent.
Min temperature.....31-35.
Max humidity........89-93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest around 5 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 to 15 mph.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........74        77        84        90
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY    LIKELY
Weather type....RAIN      RAIN      RAIN      RNSN
Tstm cov........
Temp............42        39        38        37
RH..............87        89        88        89
20 FT wind......N 4G8     W 3G4     W 4G6     W 5G8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain and snow in the morning,
                    then snow likely in the afternoon. Rain and snow
                    likely late in the afternoon.
CWR.................60 percent.
Max temperature.....36-40.
Min humidity........69-73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest around 15 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 2400 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 25 mph.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........93        94        92        77
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    LIKELY    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSN      RNSN      SNOW      RNSN
Tstm cov........
Temp............35        33        34        37
RH..............91        91        94        83
20 FT wind......W 5G6     W 6G10    W 8G14    W 10G20

$$
Forecaster...Archer
Requested by...Greg Oyler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523607.0/BYZ
.DELDT 10/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gregory.oyler@usda.gov