Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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FXUS65 KBYZ 061439
AFDBYZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Billings MT
839 AM MDT Fri Jun 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warmer today with a few showers/thunderstorms over/near the
  Bighorns this afternoon.

- Breezy northwest winds this weekend; gusts 30-40 mph east of
  Billings.

- Warmer (highs in 80s to near 90F) early next week.

- The chance for showers and thunderstorms increases next Tuesday,
  Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Clear skies exist over the forecast area this morning, under a dry
northerly flow and ahead of the next Canadian wave (high clouds
are approaching northern MT as this is being written). Trof
sagging thru WY may support a few showers or weak t-storms
over/near the Bighorns this afternoon, mainly south of Burgess
Junction, but it is also possible that development stays a bit
further south. Either way, we will be dry & warmer today with
temps reaching the mid 70s to around 80F. Forecast is in good
shape. JKL

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Through Saturday night...

Water vapor imagery showed a trough over the region early this
morning. Patchy fog is possible near the Dakotas border through
the morning, where dewpoint depressions are within a couple
degrees. Mostly dry conditions will persist through today with
highs in the 70s to lower 80s. A few showers or weak thunderstorms
are possible over/near the Bighorns this afternoon and evening as
energy moving through the trough scrapes through the mountains. A
weak frontal boundary will cross the area this evening/tonight
and may bring some virga or sprinkles at best, ahead of a Canadian
clipper. Lows in the upper 40s and 50s can be expected tonight.

The aforementioned Canadian clipper is progged to drop through
the area on Saturday bringing breezy northwest winds (20-35 mph
gusts) and low chances (15-40%) for showers and weak
thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. High temperatures
will range from the upper 60s to 70s on Saturday, with lows in the
40s to lower 50s Saturday night. STP

Sunday through Thursday...

Into Sunday a low tracking from Canada into eastern North Dakota
and Minnesota will bring breezy conditions across the region.
Locations in far eastern MT have about a 50-80% chance of seeing
gusts to at least 40 mph. Ridging will build into the region
Monday and Tuesday ushering in warm and dry conditions. Tuesday
will have the best chance for hitting 90 degrees F with about a
50-80% chance for areas Billings east (highest along the river
valleys). Late Tuesday into Wednesday, ensembles begin to bring in
a more unsettled pattern with southwest flow and increased
atmospheric moisture. Ensembles aren`t showing any strong pattern
shift, as temperatures will remain around normal, but a daily
chance of showers remains in the forecast for Wednesday and
Thursday.

High temperatures will be in the 70s Sunday, warming into the 80s
Monday, 80s/low 90s Tuesday, with upper 70s and 80s for Wednesday
and Thursday. TS

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. There is a small
chance (20-30%) for showers and weak t-storms over the Bighorn
Mtns this afternoon. JKL


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    Tdy Sat     Sun     Mon     Tue     Wed     Thu
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 078 056/078 052/075 050/086 057/091 058/084 056/078
    0/U 02/W    10/U    00/U    01/U    25/T    55/T
LVM 076 048/078 046/076 048/085 054/086 053/079 049/075
    0/U 01/N    10/U    00/U    03/T    47/T    67/T
HDN 078 053/078 050/075 045/084 052/092 058/086 055/079
    0/U 02/W    30/U    00/U    01/U    24/T    55/T
MLS 079 054/078 051/073 045/080 052/092 061/088 057/078
    0/U 03/W    20/N    00/U    00/U    22/T    54/W
4BQ 075 053/078 051/070 047/079 051/089 060/087 056/078
    0/U 02/W    30/N    00/U    00/U    12/T    44/W
BHK 076 051/076 044/070 042/076 047/087 055/085 053/076
    0/U 03/W    10/N    00/U    00/U    12/T    44/W
SHR 073 048/076 046/070 045/079 049/087 053/083 051/075
    2/T 01/N    40/N    00/U    01/U    14/T    55/T

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
WY...None.

&&

$$
weather.gov/billings