River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Versions:
1
750 FGUS51 KTAR 071502 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1101 AM EDT Tue Oct 07 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Oct-07 1000 AM .ER ATTN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 3.3 / 3.4 / 3.5 .E2 :1008: / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E3 :1009: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :1010: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.26/ 0.49/ 0.25/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.3 FT at Oct-07 1000 AM .ER BTVN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 1.4 / 1.7 / 1.9 .E2 :1008: / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.7 .E3 :1009: / 1.6 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E4 :1010: / 1.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.27/ 0.49/ 0.23/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.0 FT at Oct-07 1000 AM .ER RAPN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.2 .E2 :1008: / 1.2 / 1.3 / 1.4 / 1.5 .E3 :1009: / 1.5 / 1.6 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E4 :1010: / 1.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.50/ 0.54/ 0.14/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.9 FT at Oct-07 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 1.0 / 1.5 / 1.9 .E2 :1008: / 1.9 / 1.6 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E3 :1009: / 1.3 / 1.2 / 1.1 / 1.1 .E4 :1010: / 1.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.27/ 0.46/ 0.26/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.4 FT at Oct-07 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 0.6 / 1.0 / 0.9 .E2 :1008: / 0.7 / 0.6 / 0.5 / 0.5 .E3 :1009: / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.4 .E4 :1010: / 0.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.33/ 0.54/ 0.23/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Oct-07 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 3.2 / 3.7 / 3.6 .E2 :1008: / 3.3 / 3.1 / 3.0 / 2.9 .E3 :1009: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E4 :1010: / 2.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.38/ 0.58/ 0.20/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Oct-07 1000 AM .ER EBZN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 2.4 / 2.6 / 2.5 .E2 :1008: / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.2 .E3 :1009: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :1010: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.36/ 0.55/ 0.23/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Oct-07 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 1.8 / 1.9 / 2.0 .E2 :1008: / 2.0 / 2.1 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :1009: / 2.1 / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E4 :1010: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.49/ 0.58/ 0.16/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.2 FT at Oct-07 0945 AM .ER WLLN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 4.3 / 4.4 / 4.6 .E2 :1008: / 4.8 / 4.6 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E3 :1009: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E4 :1010: / 4.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.08/ 0.26/ 0.36/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.0 FT at Oct-07 1000 AM .ER PRTN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 9.0 / 9.1 / 9.2 .E2 :1008: / 9.4 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.0 .E3 :1009: / 8.8 / 8.6 / 8.5 / 8.5 .E4 :1010: / 8.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.12/ 0.34/ 0.29/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 585.1 FT at Oct-07 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 585.0 / 589.5 / 592.0 .E2 :1008: / 601.3 / 603.5 / 605.0 / 606.4 .E3 :1009: / 607.5 / 608.0 / 608.0 / 607.8 .E4 :1010: / 607.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.12/ 0.33/ 0.32/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 13.3 FT at Oct-07 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 13.3 / 13.3 / 13.3 .E2 :1008: / 13.5 / 13.7 / 14.0 / 14.5 .E3 :1009: / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.5 / 14.5 .E4 :1010: / 14.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.14/ 0.38/ 0.33/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Oct-07 1000 AM .ER GRBN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E2 :1008: / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E3 :1009: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E4 :1010: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.21/ 0.43/ 0.24/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.2 FT at Oct-07 1000 AM .ER CHRN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.3 .E2 :1008: / 1.3 / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E3 :1009: / 1.4 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E4 :1010: / 1.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.35/ 0.50/ 0.15/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Oct-07 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 3.0 / 3.1 / 3.1 .E2 :1008: / 3.1 / 3.1 / 3.2 / 3.3 .E3 :1009: / 3.4 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.4 .E4 :1010: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.22/ 0.47/ 0.25/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Oct-07 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 1.7 / 1.9 / 2.2 .E2 :1008: / 2.4 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.3 .E3 :1009: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E4 :1010: / 2.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.10/ 0.34/ 0.37/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 686.9 FT at Oct-07 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 686.9 / 686.9 / 687.0 .E2 :1008: / 687.0 / 687.0 / 687.0 / 687.0 .E3 :1009: / 687.0 / 687.0 / 687.0 / 687.0 .E4 :1010: / 686.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.08/ 0.26/ 0.33/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Oct-07 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 3.2 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :1008: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.2 .E3 :1009: / 3.2 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :1010: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Oct-07 1000 AM .ER BOON6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 3.7 / 3.8 / 4.0 .E2 :1008: / 4.3 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 .E3 :1009: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.3 .E4 :1010: / 4.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.08/ 0.31/ 0.63/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Oct-07 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 2.1 .E2 :1008: / 2.4 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E3 :1009: / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.4 .E4 :1010: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.06/ 0.28/ 0.62/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Oct-07 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20251007 E DC202510071101/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1007: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.7 .E2 :1008: / 2.9 / 3.1 / 3.4 / 3.5 .E3 :1009: / 3.6 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E4 :1010: / 3.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.14/ 0.32/ 0.75/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...