River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Versions:
1
695 FGUS51 KTAR 141511 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1111 AM EDT Wed May 14 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at May-14 1000 AM .ER ATTN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E2 :0515: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E3 :0516: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E4 :0517: / 3.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at May-14 1000 AM .ER BTVN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.2 .E2 :0515: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :0516: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :0517: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at May-14 1000 AM .ER RAPN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E2 :0515: / 2.2 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E3 :0516: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E4 :0517: / 2.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.16/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at May-14 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :0515: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.2 .E3 :0516: / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.1 .E4 :0517: / 2.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.0 FT at May-14 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 0.9 .E2 :0515: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E3 :0516: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 / 0.9 .E4 :0517: / 0.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at May-14 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E2 :0515: / 3.5 / 3.6 / 3.7 / 3.6 .E3 :0516: / 3.6 / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.5 .E4 :0517: / 3.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at May-14 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E2 :0515: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E3 :0516: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E4 :0517: / 2.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at May-14 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E2 :0515: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :0516: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :0517: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.5 FT at May-14 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.4 .E2 :0515: / 5.4 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.2 .E3 :0516: / 5.2 / 5.3 / 5.4 / 5.4 .E4 :0517: / 5.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.14/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.1 FT at May-14 1000 AM .ER PRTN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 10.1 / 10.2 / 10.2 .E2 :0515: / 10.1 / 10.1 / 10.0 / 10.0 .E3 :0516: / 10.0 / 10.0 / 10.0 / 10.0 .E4 :0517: / 10.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 647.1 FT at May-14 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 646.1 / 644.8 / 643.4 .E2 :0515: / 642.0 / 640.5 / 639.1 / 637.5 .E3 :0516: / 636.0 / 634.3 / 632.6 / 630.7 .E4 :0517: / 628.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 28.5 FT at May-14 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 28.5 / 28.5 / 28.4 .E2 :0515: / 28.3 / 28.2 / 28.1 / 28.0 .E3 :0516: / 27.9 / 27.9 / 27.8 / 27.7 .E4 :0517: / 27.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.17/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.04/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at May-14 1000 AM .ER GRBN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 3.0 / 3.0 / 3.0 .E2 :0515: / 3.0 / 3.0 / 3.0 / 3.0 .E3 :0516: / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.9 .E4 :0517: / 2.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.14/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.1 FT at May-14 1000 AM .ER CHRN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :0515: / 2.1 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 :0516: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :0517: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.1 FT at May-14 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 10.1 / 10.1 / 10.0 .E2 :0515: / 10.0 / 9.9 / 9.9 / 9.9 .E3 :0516: / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.7 .E4 :0517: / 9.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.06/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at May-14 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E2 :0515: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 .E3 :0516: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :0517: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.19/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 688.7 FT at May-14 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 688.7 / 688.7 / 688.6 .E2 :0515: / 688.6 / 688.6 / 688.6 / 688.6 .E3 :0516: / 688.5 / 688.5 / 688.5 / 688.5 .E4 :0517: / 688.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.18/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.0 FT at May-14 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 .E2 :0515: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 .E3 :0516: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 .E4 :0517: / 5.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.5 FT at May-14 1000 AM .ER BOON6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.3 .E2 :0515: / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.1 .E3 :0516: / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.0 / 5.0 .E4 :0517: / 5.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at May-14 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E2 :0515: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :0516: / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E4 :0517: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.8 FT at May-14 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250514 E DC202505141111/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0514: / 5.7 / 5.5 / 5.4 .E2 :0515: / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.0 .E3 :0516: / 5.0 / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.7 .E4 :0517: / 4.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.01/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...