River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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838 FGUS51 KTAR 221637 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1137 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Nov-22 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 3.5 / 3.6 / 3.8 .E2 :1123: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E3 :1124: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E4 :1125: / 3.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.24/ 0.23/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Nov-22 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 1.9 / 2.1 / 2.3 .E2 :1123: / 2.7 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.6 .E3 :1124: / 2.5 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.2 .E4 :1125: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.24/ 0.23/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.4 FT at Nov-22 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 1.5 / 1.6 / 1.7 .E2 :1123: / 1.9 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.1 .E3 :1124: / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E4 :1125: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.20/ 0.19/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Nov-22 1115 AM .ER GOWN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 2.2 / 2.5 / 3.0 .E2 :1123: / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E3 :1124: / 2.7 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.3 .E4 :1125: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.20/ 0.18/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.1 FT at Nov-22 1115 AM .ER GDVN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 1.1 / 1.3 / 1.6 .E2 :1123: / 1.9 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 1.8 .E3 :1124: / 1.7 / 1.5 / 1.4 / 1.2 .E4 :1125: / 1.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.21/ 0.19/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Nov-22 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 3.7 / 3.9 / 4.1 .E2 :1123: / 4.3 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 .E3 :1124: / 4.4 / 4.2 / 3.9 / 3.8 .E4 :1125: / 3.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.21/ 0.19/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.9 FT at Nov-22 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 3.0 / 3.3 / 3.6 .E2 :1123: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.6 .E3 :1124: / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.0 .E4 :1125: / 2.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.20/ 0.18/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Nov-22 1115 AM .ER WILN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.5 .E2 :1123: / 2.7 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E3 :1124: / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.4 .E4 :1125: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.19/ 0.18/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at Nov-22 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 4.6 / 4.7 / 4.9 .E2 :1123: / 5.2 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.3 .E3 :1124: / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.0 / 4.9 .E4 :1125: / 4.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.19/ 0.17/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.4 FT at Nov-22 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 9.4 / 9.6 / 10.2 .E2 :1123: / 10.5 / 10.6 / 10.6 / 10.5 .E3 :1124: / 10.5 / 10.3 / 10.2 / 10.0 .E4 :1125: / 9.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.21/ 0.20/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 590.0 FT at Nov-22 1100 AM .ER MMDN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 589.8 / 589.8 / 589.8 .E2 :1123: / 590.4 / 594.3 / 600.5 / 600.9 .E3 :1124: / 601.2 / 601.5 / 601.8 / 601.9 .E4 :1125: / 601.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.24/ 0.26/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 15.9 FT at Nov-22 1100 AM .ER AVON6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 16.1 / 16.8 / 17.5 .E2 :1123: / 18.1 / 18.6 / 19.2 / 20.1 .E3 :1124: / 21.1 / 21.6 / 21.7 / 21.5 .E4 :1125: / 21.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.26/ 0.30/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Nov-22 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 2.4 / 2.5 / 2.7 .E2 :1123: / 2.9 / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.8 .E3 :1124: / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.6 .E4 :1125: / 2.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.24/ 0.26/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Nov-22 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 1.8 / 1.9 / 2.1 .E2 :1123: / 2.3 / 2.4 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E3 :1124: / 2.4 / 2.2 / 2.0 / 1.9 .E4 :1125: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.25/ 0.26/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.7 FT at Nov-22 0700 AM .ER RHRN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 5.0 / 5.5 / 6.0 .E2 :1123: / 6.3 / 6.6 / 6.8 / 7.0 .E3 :1124: / 7.1 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 .E4 :1125: / 7.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.28/ 0.30/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.9 FT at Nov-22 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 2.9 / 3.1 / 3.5 .E2 :1123: / 3.8 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 3.8 .E3 :1124: / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.4 .E4 :1125: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.32/ 0.34/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 687.3 FT at Nov-22 1115 AM .ER CNDN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 687.4 / 687.4 / 687.5 .E2 :1123: / 687.5 / 687.5 / 687.5 / 687.5 .E3 :1124: / 687.5 / 687.5 / 687.5 / 687.5 .E4 :1125: / 687.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.35/ 0.31/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Nov-22 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 3.8 / 4.0 / 4.1 .E2 :1123: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 .E3 :1124: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E4 :1125: / 4.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.0 FT at Nov-22 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 5.1 / 5.2 / 5.2 .E2 :1123: / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.1 .E3 :1124: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 .E4 :1125: / 5.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at Nov-22 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 2.8 / 2.9 / 3.1 .E2 :1123: / 3.3 / 3.4 / 3.5 / 3.6 .E3 :1124: / 3.7 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.7 .E4 :1125: / 3.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.11/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at Nov-22 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20241122 E DC202411221137/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1122: / 3.7 / 4.3 / 4.9 .E2 :1123: / 5.3 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 .E3 :1124: / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.6 / 5.5 .E4 :1125: / 5.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.16/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...