River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
356 FGUS51 KTAR 031537 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1137 AM EDT Thu Apr 03 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at Apr-03 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 4.5 / 4.3 / 4.1 .E2 :0404: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.8 .E3 :0405: / 4.2 / 4.6 / 4.8 / 5.0 .E4 :0406: / 5.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.33/ 0.35/ 0.17/ 0.32/ 0.33/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Apr-03 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 3.8 / 4.1 / 4.3 .E2 :0404: / 4.2 / 4.0 / 3.7 / 3.5 .E3 :0405: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.5 / 3.9 .E4 :0406: / 4.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.31/ 0.36/ 0.16/ 0.30/ 0.30/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Apr-03 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 3.9 / 4.2 / 4.4 .E2 :0404: / 4.7 / 5.1 / 5.4 / 5.5 .E3 :0405: / 5.6 / 5.8 / 6.0 / 6.2 .E4 :0406: / 6.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.29/ 0.38/ 0.14/ 0.25/ 0.18/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at Apr-03 1115 AM .ER GOWN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 4.3 / 4.1 / 3.9 .E2 :0404: / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.5 / 3.3 .E3 :0405: / 3.6 / 4.7 / 5.5 / 6.1 .E4 :0406: / 7.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.38/ 0.34/ 0.23/ 0.35/ 0.35/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Apr-03 1115 AM .ER GDVN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 3.7 / 3.3 / 2.9 .E2 :0404: / 2.6 / 2.4 / 2.1 / 2.0 .E3 :0405: / 2.2 / 3.0 / 3.4 / 3.5 .E4 :0406: / 3.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.33/ 0.36/ 0.18/ 0.31/ 0.30/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.9 FT at Apr-03 1030 AM :Crest near 6.5 FT around 8AM EDT ON 04/06/2025 .ER LCSN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 6.0 / 5.2 / 5.0 .E2 :0404: / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.5 .E3 :0405: / 4.6 / 5.4 / 5.9 / 5.8 .E4 :0406: / 6.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.32/ 0.37/ 0.16/ 0.29/ 0.25/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.4 FT at Apr-03 1100 AM :Crest near 8.0 FT around 8AM EDT ON 04/06/2025 .ER EBZN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 5.5 / 5.2 / 5.0 .E2 :0404: / 4.8 / 4.6 / 4.3 / 4.1 .E3 :0405: / 4.3 / 5.8 / 6.6 / 7.4 .E4 :0406: / 8.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.35/ 0.36/ 0.20/ 0.32/ 0.30/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Apr-03 1115 AM .ER WILN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 3.7 / 4.3 / 4.4 .E2 :0404: / 4.3 / 4.1 / 3.9 / 3.6 .E3 :0405: / 3.6 / 3.8 / 3.9 / 4.4 .E4 :0406: / 4.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.31/ 0.38/ 0.15/ 0.27/ 0.19/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.2 FT at Apr-03 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 .E2 :0404: / 5.3 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.3 .E3 :0405: / 5.6 / 6.5 / 7.1 / 7.2 .E4 :0406: / 8.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.36/ 0.43/ 0.12/ 0.29/ 0.46/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 11.1 FT at Apr-03 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 11.2 / 11.1 / 11.0 .E2 :0404: / 10.9 / 10.9 / 10.9 / 10.8 .E3 :0405: / 10.9 / 11.5 / 12.2 / 12.9 .E4 :0406: / 14.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.36/ 0.36/ 0.14/ 0.33/ 0.41/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 606.4 FT at Apr-03 1100 AM .ER MMDN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 607.0 / 608.9 / 609.7 .E2 :0404: / 610.0 / 609.8 / 609.4 / 608.9 .E3 :0405: / 608.2 / 608.0 / 610.0 / 614.7 .E4 :0406: / 621.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.30/ 0.33/ 0.15/ 0.31/ 0.38/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 21.0 FT at Apr-03 1115 AM .ER AVON6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 22.3 / 23.9 / 24.7 .E2 :0404: / 25.1 / 25.2 / 25.2 / 25.2 .E3 :0405: / 25.2 / 25.6 / 26.6 / 28.0 .E4 :0406: / 29.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.28/ 0.35/ 0.15/ 0.30/ 0.35/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.4 FT at Apr-03 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 3.7 / 4.0 / 4.2 .E2 :0404: / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.0 / 3.8 .E3 :0405: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.8 / 4.1 .E4 :0406: / 4.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.30/ 0.36/ 0.15/ 0.31/ 0.31/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at Apr-03 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 3.8 / 4.4 / 4.7 .E2 :0404: / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.5 .E3 :0405: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.4 .E4 :0406: / 4.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.27/ 0.39/ 0.14/ 0.27/ 0.22/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 7.8 FT at Apr-03 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 8.3 / 9.1 / 9.9 .E2 :0404: / 10.8 / 10.8 / 10.6 / 10.3 .E3 :0405: / 10.1 / 10.1 / 10.9 / 12.0 .E4 :0406: / 12.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.26/ 0.40/ 0.16/ 0.29/ 0.28/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.9 FT at Apr-03 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.8 .E2 :0404: / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :0405: / 3.5 / 3.6 / 4.0 / 4.3 .E4 :0406: / 4.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.27/ 0.35/ 0.15/ 0.27/ 0.36/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 687.6 FT at Apr-03 1115 AM .ER CNDN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 .E2 :0404: / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 .E3 :0405: / 687.7 / 687.7 / 687.8 / 687.8 .E4 :0406: / 687.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.26/ 0.35/ 0.15/ 0.24/ 0.36/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at Apr-03 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.7 .E2 :0404: / 3.7 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E3 :0405: / 3.8 / 3.9 / 4.0 / 4.1 .E4 :0406: / 4.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 7.2 FT at Apr-03 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 7.4 / 7.8 / 8.3 .E2 :0404: / 8.6 / 8.7 / 8.7 / 8.6 .E3 :0405: / 8.4 / 8.3 / 8.2 / 8.2 .E4 :0406: / 8.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.19/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.47/ 0.18/ 0.15/ 0.33/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.9 FT at Apr-03 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 6.0 / 6.6 / 7.0 .E2 :0404: / 7.3 / 7.4 / 7.5 / 7.5 .E3 :0405: / 7.4 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.4 .E4 :0406: / 7.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.17/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.40/ 0.17/ 0.13/ 0.31/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 7.7 FT at Apr-03 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250403 E DC202504031137/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0403: / 7.7 / 7.8 / 7.9 .E2 :0404: / 7.9 / 7.8 / 7.6 / 7.4 .E3 :0405: / 7.4 / 7.4 / 7.5 / 7.8 .E4 :0406: / 8.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.40/ 0.15/ 0.13/ 0.29/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...