


River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Versions:
1
816 FGUS51 KTAR 031542 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1142 AM EDT Sun Aug 03 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Aug-03 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :0804: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E3 :0805: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :0806: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.5 FT at Aug-03 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E2 :0804: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E3 :0805: / 1.5 / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E4 :0806: / 1.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.0 FT at Aug-03 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E2 :0804: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E3 :0805: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E4 :0806: / 1.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.3 FT at Aug-03 1132 AM .ER GOWN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 1.3 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E2 :0804: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E3 :0805: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E4 :0806: / 1.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.5 FT at Aug-03 1115 AM .ER GDVN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5 .E2 :0804: / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5 .E3 :0805: / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5 .E4 :0806: / 0.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at Aug-03 1130 AM .ER LCSN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E2 :0804: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E3 :0805: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E4 :0806: / 2.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Aug-03 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E2 :0804: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :0805: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :0806: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Aug-03 1115 AM .ER WILN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E2 :0804: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E3 :0805: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E4 :0806: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.4 FT at Aug-03 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E2 :0804: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E3 :0805: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E4 :0806: / 4.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 8.7 FT at Aug-03 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 8.7 / 8.6 / 8.6 .E2 :0804: / 8.6 / 8.6 / 8.5 / 8.5 .E3 :0805: / 8.5 / 8.5 / 8.5 / 8.5 .E4 :0806: / 8.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 585.9 FT at Aug-03 1100 AM .ER MMDN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 585.9 / 585.9 / 585.9 .E2 :0804: / 585.9 / 585.9 / 585.9 / 585.9 .E3 :0805: / 585.9 / 585.9 / 585.9 / 585.9 .E4 :0806: / 585.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Forecast not based on gage reading due to gage malfunction :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 14.9 FT at Aug-03 1115 AM .ER AVON6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 14.8 / 14.7 / 14.6 .E2 :0804: / 14.5 / 14.4 / 14.3 / 14.2 .E3 :0805: / 14.1 / 14.1 / 14.0 / 14.0 .E4 :0806: / 13.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Aug-03 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E2 :0804: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E3 :0805: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E4 :0806: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.2 FT at Aug-03 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E2 :0804: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.1 / 1.1 .E3 :0805: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 .E4 :0806: / 1.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.1 FT at Aug-03 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 3.9 .E2 :0804: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E3 :0805: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 .E4 :0806: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.1 FT at Aug-03 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :0804: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E3 :0805: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :0806: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 688.0 FT at Aug-03 1115 AM .ER CNDN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 688.0 / 688.0 / 688.0 .E2 :0804: / 688.0 / 688.0 / 688.0 / 688.0 .E3 :0805: / 688.0 / 688.0 / 688.0 / 688.0 .E4 :0806: / 688.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Aug-03 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E2 :0804: / 3.2 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E3 :0805: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :0806: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.0 FT at Aug-03 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E2 :0804: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E3 :0805: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E4 :0806: / 4.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Aug-03 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E2 :0804: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E3 :0805: / 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E4 :0806: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at Aug-03 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250803 E DC202508031142/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0803: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E2 :0804: / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E3 :0805: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E4 :0806: / 2.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...