River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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760
FGUS51 KTAR 041527
RVFBUF
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA
1127 AM EDT Fri Sep 04 2026
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:************************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 4.5 FT at Sep-04 1100 AM
.ER ATTN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   4.4 /   3.8 /   3.6
.E2  :0905:  /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E3  :0906:  /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E4  :0907:  /   3.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Sep-04 1100 AM
.ER BTVN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   3.6 /   3.4 /   2.9
.E2  :0905:  /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.5
.E3  :0906:  /   2.3 /   2.2 /   2.2 /   2.2
.E4  :0907:  /   2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Sep-04 1100 AM
.ER RAPN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   3.2 /   3.3 /   3.3
.E2  :0905:  /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.0
.E3  :0906:  /   2.8 /   2.6 /   2.5 /   2.4
.E4  :0907:  /   2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Sep-04 1015 AM
.ER GOWN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   2.3 /   1.9 /   1.9
.E2  :0905:  /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.7
.E3  :0906:  /   1.6 /   1.5 /   1.5 /   1.5
.E4  :0907:  /   1.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Sep-04 1015 AM
.ER GDVN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   1.5 /   1.3 /   1.0
.E2  :0905:  /   0.8 /   0.8 /   0.8 /   0.8
.E3  :0906:  /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7
.E4  :0907:  /   0.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 5.5 FT at Sep-04 1030 AM
.ER LCSN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   5.3 /   5.1 /   4.7
.E2  :0905:  /   4.3 /   3.8 /   3.6 /   3.2
.E3  :0906:  /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.1
.E4  :0907:  /   3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Sep-04 1100 AM
.ER EBZN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   3.0 /   2.8 /   2.7
.E2  :0905:  /   2.6 /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.4
.E3  :0906:  /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4
.E4  :0907:  /   2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at Sep-04 1015 AM
.ER WILN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   2.7 /   2.6 /   2.6
.E2  :0905:  /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.4 /   2.4
.E3  :0906:  /   2.3 /   2.2 /   2.1 /   2.1
.E4  :0907:  /   2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 5.2 FT at Sep-04 1045 AM
.ER WLLN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   5.1 /   5.0 /   4.9
.E2  :0905:  /   4.8 /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.7
.E3  :0906:  /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.7
.E4  :0907:  /   4.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 10.7 FT at Sep-04 1100 AM
.ER PRTN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /  10.6 /  10.3 /  10.1
.E2  :0905:  /  10.0 /   9.9 /   9.8 /   9.7
.E3  :0906:  /   9.6 /   9.5 /   9.5 /   9.5
.E4  :0907:  /   9.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 612.3 FT at Sep-04 1100 AM
.ER MMDN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          / 612.6 / 612.0 / 610.5
.E2  :0905:  / 608.3 / 604.6 / 590.3 / 590.1
.E3  :0906:  / 590.4 / 589.3 / 589.3 / 589.3
.E4  :0907:  / 589.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 24.1 FT at Sep-04 1015 AM
.ER AVON6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /  24.1 /  24.2 /  24.1
.E2  :0905:  /  23.9 /  23.5 /  23.2 /  22.5
.E3  :0906:  /  21.5 /  20.3 /  19.4 /  18.6
.E4  :0907:  /  18.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:************************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Sep-04 1100 AM
.ER GRBN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   3.9 /   3.5 /   3.4
.E2  :0905:  /   3.3 /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.1
.E3  :0906:  /   3.1 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   2.9
.E4  :0907:  /   2.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Sep-04 1100 AM
.ER CHRN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.3
.E2  :0905:  /   3.1 /   3.0 /   2.8 /   2.6
.E3  :0906:  /   2.4 /   2.2 /   2.1 /   2.0
.E4  :0907:  /   1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 8.4 FT at Sep-04 0800 AM
.ER RHRN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   8.8 /   9.0 /   9.0
.E2  :0905:  /   8.9 /   8.8 /   8.6 /   8.5
.E3  :0906:  /   8.3 /   7.9 /   7.7 /   7.4
.E4  :0907:  /   7.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:************************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood stage 6.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Sep-04 1030 AM
.ER HNYN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   3.1 /   3.0 /   2.9
.E2  :0905:  /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.7
.E3  :0906:  /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E4  :0907:  /   2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:************************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 688.0 FT at Sep-04 1115 AM
.ER CNDN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          / 688.0 / 688.0 / 688.0
.E2  :0905:  / 688.0 / 688.0 / 688.0 / 688.0
.E3  :0906:  / 688.0 / 688.0 / 688.0 / 688.0
.E4  :0907:  / 688.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Sep-04 1030 AM
.ER CPNN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E2  :0905:  /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E3  :0906:  /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E4  :0907:  /   3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:
:
:************************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 4.5 FT at Sep-04 1100 AM
.ER BOON6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.3
.E2  :0905:  /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3
.E3  :0906:  /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E4  :0907:  /   4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Sep-04 1030 AM
.ER MCKN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   2.4 /   2.3 /   2.3
.E2  :0905:  /   2.2 /   2.2 /   2.1 /   2.1
.E3  :0906:  /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.0 /   2.0
.E4  :0907:  /   2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:************************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Sep-04 1030 AM
.ER ARTN6 20260904 E DC202609041127/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0904:          /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E2  :0905:  /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.2
.E3  :0906:  /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.1
.E4  :0907:  /   3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
$$
:NERFC
:...END of MESSAGE...