River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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051 FGUS51 KTAR 101634 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1134 AM EST Wed Dec 10 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Dec-10 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E2 :1211: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :1212: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :1213: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.20/ 0.21/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Dec-10 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E2 :1211: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E3 :1212: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E4 :1213: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.17/ 0.20/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.4 FT at Dec-10 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E2 :1211: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E3 :1212: / 1.5 / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E4 :1213: / 1.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.19/ 0.22/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Dec-10 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E2 :1211: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E3 :1212: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E4 :1213: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.21/ 0.17/ 0.14/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.14/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.1 FT at Dec-10 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 .E2 :1211: / 0.9 / 0.8 / 0.8 / 0.8 .E3 :1212: / 0.8 / 0.8 / 0.8 / 0.8 .E4 :1213: / 0.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.23/ 0.24/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.05/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Dec-10 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.3 .E2 :1211: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E3 :1212: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E4 :1213: / 3.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.21/ 0.25/ 0.12/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at Dec-10 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E2 :1211: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E3 :1212: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E4 :1213: / 2.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.27/ 0.27/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.06/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.0 FT at Dec-10 1115 AM .ER WILN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E2 :1211: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 :1212: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :1213: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.23/ 0.25/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.5 FT at Dec-10 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 .E2 :1211: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 .E3 :1212: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 .E4 :1213: / 4.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.23/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.1 FT at Dec-10 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 8.9 / 8.9 / 8.8 .E2 :1211: / 8.8 / 8.8 / 8.8 / 8.8 .E3 :1212: / 8.8 / 8.8 / 8.8 / 8.8 .E4 :1213: / 8.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.21/ 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 587.4 FT at Dec-10 1100 AM .ER MMDN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 586.5 / 586.5 / 586.5 .E2 :1211: / 586.5 / 586.5 / 586.5 / 586.5 .E3 :1212: / 586.5 / 586.5 / 586.5 / 586.5 .E4 :1213: / 586.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.14/ 0.07/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 15.4 FT at Dec-10 1115 AM .ER AVON6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 14.9 / 14.9 / 14.9 .E2 :1211: / 14.9 / 14.8 / 14.8 / 14.8 .E3 :1212: / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.7 / 14.7 .E4 :1213: / 14.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Dec-10 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E2 :1211: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :1212: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :1213: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.12/ 0.12/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.4 FT at Dec-10 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E2 :1211: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E3 :1212: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E4 :1213: / 1.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.12/ 0.13/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.3 FT at Dec-10 0700 AM .ER RHRN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E2 :1211: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.1 .E3 :1212: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.0 .E4 :1213: / 4.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.10/ 0.08/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Dec-10 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E2 :1211: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.3 .E3 :1212: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E4 :1213: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.09/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 686.6 FT at Dec-10 1115 AM .ER CNDN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 686.6 / 686.6 / 686.6 .E2 :1211: / 686.6 / 686.6 / 686.6 / 686.6 .E3 :1212: / 686.6 / 686.6 / 686.6 / 686.6 .E4 :1213: / 686.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Dec-10 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 3.2 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :1211: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E3 :1212: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E4 :1213: / 3.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at Dec-10 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E2 :1211: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E3 :1212: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E4 :1213: / 4.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.48/ 0.31/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.4 FT at Dec-10 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.9 .E2 :1211: / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E3 :1212: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E4 :1213: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.24/ 0.19/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at Dec-10 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20251210 E DC202512101134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1210: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E2 :1211: / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :1212: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.4 .E4 :1213: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.22/ 0.19/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ :No recent gage observations available :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...