River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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325 FGUS51 KTAR 051617 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1117 AM EST Wed Feb 05 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.9 FT at Feb-05 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E2 :0206: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :0207: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :0208: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Feb-05 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.3 .E2 :0206: / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.1 .E3 :0207: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E4 :0208: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Feb-05 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 1.9 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E2 :0206: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E3 :0207: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.0 .E4 :0208: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Feb-05 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 2.5 / 2.3 / 2.2 .E2 :0206: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 :0207: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :0208: / 1.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.14/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.1 FT at Feb-05 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 1.6 / 1.5 / 1.4 .E2 :0206: / 1.3 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.1 .E3 :0207: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.2 .E4 :0208: / 1.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.3 FT at Feb-03 0230 PM .ER LCSN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 4.3 / 4.1 / 3.9 .E2 :0206: / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E3 :0207: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E4 :0208: / 3.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :No recent gage observations available :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.3 FT at Feb-05 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 3.1 / 3.0 / 3.0 .E2 :0206: / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.7 .E3 :0207: / 2.7 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E4 :0208: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Feb-05 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E2 :0206: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E3 :0207: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E4 :0208: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.8 FT at Feb-05 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E2 :0206: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E3 :0207: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E4 :0208: / 4.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.3 FT at Feb-05 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 9.9 / 9.8 / 9.7 .E2 :0206: / 9.6 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.4 .E3 :0207: / 9.4 / 9.4 / 9.3 / 9.3 .E4 :0208: / 9.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 593.9 FT at Feb-05 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 585.0 / 585.0 / 585.0 .E2 :0206: / 585.0 / 585.0 / 585.0 / 585.0 .E3 :0207: / 585.0 / 585.0 / 585.0 / 585.0 .E4 :0208: / 585.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 20.2 FT at Feb-05 1100 AM .ER AVON6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 18.1 / 18.1 / 18.0 .E2 :0206: / 18.0 / 18.1 / 18.4 / 18.6 .E3 :0207: / 18.6 / 18.5 / 18.3 / 18.1 .E4 :0208: / 17.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at Feb-05 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E2 :0206: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E3 :0207: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.7 .E4 :0208: / 2.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Feb-05 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E2 :0206: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E3 :0207: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E4 :0208: / 1.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 8.0 FT at Feb-05 0700 AM .ER RHRN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 5.2 / 5.3 / 5.3 .E2 :0206: / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 .E3 :0207: / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 .E4 :0208: / 5.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Feb-05 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E2 :0206: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E3 :0207: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :0208: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 686.9 FT at Feb-05 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 686.9 / 686.9 / 686.9 .E2 :0206: / 686.9 / 686.9 / 686.9 / 686.9 .E3 :0207: / 686.9 / 687.0 / 687.0 / 687.0 .E4 :0208: / 687.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.4 FT at Feb-05 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E2 :0206: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.5 .E3 :0207: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :0208: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.3 FT at Feb-05 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 .E2 :0206: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 .E3 :0207: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 .E4 :0208: / 4.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.22/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.4 FT at Feb-05 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :0206: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.0 .E3 :0207: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :0208: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.20/ 0.06/ 0.05/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Feb-05 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250205 E DC202502051117/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :0205: / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E2 :0206: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E3 :0207: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :0208: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.19/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...