River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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573 FGUS51 KTAR 211521 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1121 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Aug-21 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :0822: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E3 :0823: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :0824: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.6 FT at Aug-21 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E2 :0822: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E3 :0823: / 1.6 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.6 .E4 :0824: / 1.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.1 FT at Aug-21 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 .E2 :0822: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E3 :0823: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E4 :0824: / 1.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.3 FT at Aug-21 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E2 :0822: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.1 .E3 :0823: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 .E4 :0824: / 1.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.07/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.6 FT at Aug-21 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 0.7 / 0.7 / 0.7 .E2 :0822: / 0.7 / 0.6 / 0.6 / 0.6 .E3 :0823: / 0.6 / 0.6 / 0.6 / 0.7 .E4 :0824: / 0.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.9 FT at Aug-21 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 3.1 / 2.7 / 2.6 .E2 :0822: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E3 :0823: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.7 .E4 :0824: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.6 FT at Aug-21 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.3 .E2 :0822: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :0823: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :0824: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Aug-21 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E2 :0822: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E3 :0823: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E4 :0824: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at Aug-21 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 4.6 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E2 :0822: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E3 :0823: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E4 :0824: / 4.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.07/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 8.8 FT at Aug-21 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 8.7 / 8.7 / 8.7 .E2 :0822: / 8.6 / 8.6 / 8.5 / 8.5 .E3 :0823: / 8.4 / 8.4 / 8.4 / 8.4 .E4 :0824: / 8.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.06/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 585.4 FT at Aug-21 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 585.4 / 585.4 / 585.4 .E2 :0822: / 585.4 / 585.4 / 585.4 / 585.4 .E3 :0823: / 585.4 / 585.4 / 585.4 / 585.4 .E4 :0824: / 585.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 13.9 FT at Aug-21 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 13.9 / 13.9 / 14.0 .E2 :0822: / 14.1 / 14.2 / 14.2 / 14.2 .E3 :0823: / 14.2 / 14.1 / 14.1 / 14.0 .E4 :0824: / 14.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.04/ :No recent gage observations available :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Aug-21 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.4 .E2 :0822: / 2.4 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.4 .E3 :0823: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E4 :0824: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.3 FT at Aug-21 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E2 :0822: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E3 :0823: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E4 :0824: / 1.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.1 FT at Aug-21 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 .E2 :0822: / 4.1 / 4.2 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E3 :0823: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E4 :0824: / 4.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.05/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Aug-21 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 1.9 / 2.0 / 2.1 .E2 :0822: / 2.1 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :0823: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :0824: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.06/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 687.7 FT at Aug-21 0915 AM .ER CNDN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 687.7 / 687.7 / 687.6 .E2 :0822: / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 .E3 :0823: / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 .E4 :0824: / 687.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.08/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Aug-21 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :0822: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E3 :0823: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :0824: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.0 FT at Aug-21 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E2 :0822: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E3 :0823: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E4 :0824: / 3.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.6 FT at Aug-21 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.7 .E2 :0822: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.6 .E3 :0823: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E4 :0824: / 1.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ :Gage Reading is below bottom of rating table :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Aug-21 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250821 E DC202508211121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0821: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E2 :0822: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E3 :0823: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E4 :0824: / 2.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.11/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...