


River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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374 FGUS51 KTAR 241630 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1230 PM EDT Sat May 24 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.9 FT at May-24 1200 PM .ER ATTN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 3.9 / 4.0 / 3.9 .E2 :0525: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E3 :0526: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E4 :0527: / 3.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.06/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at May-24 1200 PM .ER BTVN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E2 :0525: / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.3 .E3 :0526: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :0527: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at May-24 1200 PM .ER RAPN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E2 :0525: / 3.1 / 3.0 / 2.8 / 2.7 .E3 :0526: / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.3 .E4 :0527: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at May-24 1215 PM .ER GOWN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 2.7 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E2 :0525: / 2.8 / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.4 .E3 :0526: / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E4 :0527: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.08/ 0.10/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at May-24 1215 PM .ER GDVN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 1.5 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E2 :0525: / 1.6 / 1.5 / 1.4 / 1.3 .E3 :0526: / 1.3 / 1.2 / 1.1 / 1.1 .E4 :0527: / 1.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.06/ 0.14/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at May-24 1130 AM .ER LCSN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3 .E2 :0525: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.1 .E3 :0526: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.8 .E4 :0527: / 3.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at May-24 1200 PM .ER EBZN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 3.5 / 3.7 / 3.9 .E2 :0525: / 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.4 .E3 :0526: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1 .E4 :0527: / 3.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.07/ 0.14/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.4 FT at May-24 1215 PM .ER WILN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 .E2 :0525: / 3.2 / 3.1 / 3.0 / 2.9 .E3 :0526: / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.5 .E4 :0527: / 2.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.3 FT at May-24 1145 AM .ER WLLN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.2 .E2 :0525: / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.1 .E3 :0526: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 .E4 :0527: / 5.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.4 FT at May-24 1200 PM .ER PRTN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 10.4 / 10.3 / 10.3 .E2 :0525: / 10.2 / 10.2 / 10.1 / 10.0 .E3 :0526: / 10.0 / 9.9 / 9.9 / 9.8 .E4 :0527: / 9.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 601.9 FT at May-24 1200 PM .ER MMDN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 600.9 / 596.5 / 592.6 .E2 :0525: / 592.6 / 592.6 / 592.7 / 592.7 .E3 :0526: / 592.7 / 592.7 / 592.7 / 592.7 .E4 :0527: / 592.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 22.9 FT at May-24 1215 PM .ER AVON6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 22.7 / 22.3 / 21.8 .E2 :0525: / 21.5 / 21.1 / 20.7 / 20.2 .E3 :0526: / 19.8 / 19.5 / 19.2 / 18.9 .E4 :0527: / 18.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at May-24 1200 PM .ER GRBN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1 .E2 :0525: / 3.0 / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.9 .E3 :0526: / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E4 :0527: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.6 FT at May-24 1200 PM .ER CHRN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E2 :0525: / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.3 .E3 :0526: / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E4 :0527: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 8.8 FT at May-24 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 8.7 / 8.4 / 8.1 .E2 :0525: / 7.9 / 7.7 / 7.4 / 7.2 .E3 :0526: / 7.0 / 6.8 / 6.6 / 6.5 .E4 :0527: / 6.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at May-24 1130 AM .ER HNYN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E2 :0525: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E3 :0526: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.2 .E4 :0527: / 3.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 688.5 FT at May-24 1215 PM .ER CNDN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 688.5 / 688.5 / 688.5 .E2 :0525: / 688.5 / 688.5 / 688.5 / 688.5 .E3 :0526: / 688.5 / 688.5 / 688.5 / 688.5 .E4 :0527: / 688.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.9 FT at May-24 1130 AM .ER CPNN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E2 :0525: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E3 :0526: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E4 :0527: / 3.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.6 FT at May-24 1200 PM .ER BOON6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 5.7 / 5.8 / 5.9 .E2 :0525: / 5.9 / 5.8 / 5.7 / 5.6 .E3 :0526: / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.3 / 5.2 .E4 :0527: / 5.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at May-24 1130 AM .ER MCKN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E2 :0525: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.7 .E3 :0526: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E4 :0527: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.3 FT at May-24 1130 AM .ER ARTN6 20250524 E DC202505241230/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0524: / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 .E2 :0525: / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.2 .E3 :0526: / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.1 .E4 :0527: / 5.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...