River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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187 FGUS51 KTAR 121452 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1052 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Jul-12 1000 AM .ER ATTN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 3.3 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E2 :0713: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E3 :0714: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 .E4 :0715: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.10/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Jul-12 1000 AM .ER BTVN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E2 :0713: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E3 :0714: / 1.6 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E4 :0715: / 1.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.3 FT at Jul-12 1000 AM .ER RAPN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E2 :0713: / 1.3 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E3 :0714: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E4 :0715: / 1.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.5 FT at Jul-12 1016 AM .ER GOWN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.5 .E2 :0713: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.6 / 1.8 .E3 :0714: / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E4 :0715: / 1.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.41/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.7 FT at Jul-12 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 0.7 / 0.6 / 0.6 .E2 :0713: / 0.6 / 0.7 / 0.8 / 0.7 .E3 :0714: / 0.6 / 0.6 / 0.6 / 0.6 .E4 :0715: / 0.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.15/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at Jul-12 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 3.1 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E2 :0713: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 3.3 / 3.1 .E3 :0714: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.7 .E4 :0715: / 2.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.14/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Jul-12 1000 AM .ER EBZN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 2.5 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E2 :0713: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.6 / 2.3 .E3 :0714: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E4 :0715: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.25/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.0 FT at Jul-12 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E2 :0713: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E3 :0714: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E4 :0715: / 1.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.5 FT at Jul-12 0945 AM .ER WLLN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E2 :0713: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.8 / 5.3 .E3 :0714: / 5.0 / 4.8 / 4.6 / 4.6 .E4 :0715: / 4.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.96/ 0.17/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 8.7 FT at Jul-12 1000 AM .ER PRTN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 8.7 / 8.7 / 8.7 .E2 :0713: / 8.6 / 8.6 / 8.6 / 8.8 .E3 :0714: / 9.2 / 9.2 / 9.1 / 9.1 .E4 :0715: / 9.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.22/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 586.4 FT at Jul-12 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 586.5 / 586.5 / 586.5 .E2 :0713: / 586.5 / 586.5 / 586.5 / 586.5 .E3 :0714: / 586.5 / 586.5 / 586.5 / 586.5 .E4 :0715: / 586.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.37/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 15.0 FT at Jul-12 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 15.0 / 15.0 / 15.0 .E2 :0713: / 15.0 / 15.0 / 14.9 / 15.0 .E3 :0714: / 15.1 / 15.2 / 15.3 / 15.5 .E4 :0715: / 15.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.16/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Jul-12 1000 AM .ER GRBN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E2 :0713: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E3 :0714: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E4 :0715: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.16/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.4 FT at Jul-12 1000 AM .ER CHRN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E2 :0713: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E3 :0714: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E4 :0715: / 1.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.4 FT at Jul-12 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E2 :0713: / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E3 :0714: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E4 :0715: / 4.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Jul-12 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E2 :0713: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E3 :0714: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E4 :0715: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.14/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 688.3 FT at Jul-12 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 688.3 / 688.3 / 688.3 .E2 :0713: / 688.3 / 688.3 / 688.3 / 688.3 .E3 :0714: / 688.3 / 688.3 / 688.3 / 688.3 .E4 :0715: / 688.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.13/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Jul-12 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E2 :0713: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E3 :0714: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E4 :0715: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.0 FT at Jul-12 1000 AM .ER BOON6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E2 :0713: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.4 / 4.8 .E3 :0714: / 5.1 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 4.9 .E4 :0715: / 4.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.14/ 0.83/ 0.24/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.0 FT at Jul-12 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E2 :0713: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.1 .E3 :0714: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :0715: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.29/ 0.21/ 0.13/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at Jul-12 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250712 E DC202507121052/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0712: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E2 :0713: / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E3 :0714: / 2.8 / 2.9 / 3.0 / 3.2 .E4 :0715: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.47/ 0.18/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...