River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
207 FGUS51 KTAR 070240 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1040 PM EDT Tue May 06 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at May-06 1000 PM .ER ATTN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 4.3 .E2 :0507: / 4.2 / 4.3 / 4.4 / 4.2 .E3 :0508: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E4 :0509: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.07/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 7.1 FT at May-06 1000 PM :Crest near 8.0 FT around 2AM EDT ON 05/07/2025 .ER BTVN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 8.0 .E2 :0507: / 8.0 / 7.5 / 6.9 / 6.2 .E3 :0508: / 5.7 / 5.1 / 4.6 / 4.1 .E4 :0509: / 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.9 FT at May-06 1000 PM :Crest near 11.3 FT around 8AM EDT ON 05/08/2025 .ER RAPN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 6.6 .E2 :0507: / 7.7 / 9.2 / 10.6 / 11.3 .E3 :0508: / 11.3 / 10.8 / 10.1 / 9.2 .E4 :0509: / 8.3 / 7.4 / 6.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.3 FT at May-06 1015 PM .ER GOWN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 4.0 .E2 :0507: / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.5 / 3.4 .E3 :0508: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1 / 3.0 .E4 :0509: / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at May-06 1015 PM .ER GDVN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 2.0 .E2 :0507: / 2.2 / 2.4 / 2.2 / 2.1 .E3 :0508: / 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.6 .E4 :0509: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.9 FT at May-06 1030 PM .ER LCSN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 4.9 .E2 :0507: / 4.8 / 4.9 / 4.7 / 4.6 .E3 :0508: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E4 :0509: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.2 FT at May-06 1000 PM .ER EBZN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 4.1 .E2 :0507: / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.5 .E3 :0508: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.4 .E4 :0509: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at May-06 1015 PM .ER WILN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 3.9 .E2 :0507: / 4.0 / 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.4 .E3 :0508: / 3.3 / 3.1 / 3.0 / 2.9 .E4 :0509: / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 7.9 FT at May-06 0945 PM .ER WLLN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 7.4 .E2 :0507: / 7.4 / 7.0 / 6.8 / 6.7 .E3 :0508: / 6.6 / 6.5 / 6.4 / 6.3 .E4 :0509: / 6.2 / 6.1 / 6.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 15.1 FT at May-06 1000 PM .ER PRTN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 14.0 .E2 :0507: / 13.4 / 13.1 / 12.8 / 12.6 .E3 :0508: / 12.3 / 12.1 / 11.9 / 11.6 .E4 :0509: / 11.4 / 11.2 / 11.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.12/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 652.9 FT at May-06 1000 PM .ER MMDN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 655.7 .E2 :0507: / 659.0 / 661.5 / 663.5 / 665.3 .E3 :0508: / 666.7 / 668.0 / 669.0 / 669.9 .E4 :0509: / 670.6 / 671.1 / 671.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.19/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 29.9 FT at May-06 1015 PM :Crest near 30.3 FT around 8PM EDT ON 05/07/2025 .ER AVON6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 29.4 .E2 :0507: / 29.5 / 30.2 / 30.3 / 29.8 .E3 :0508: / 29.0 / 28.1 / 27.3 / 26.7 .E4 :0509: / 26.2 / 25.8 / 25.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.26/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.1 FT at May-06 1000 PM .ER GRBN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 4.9 .E2 :0507: / 4.9 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 4.8 .E3 :0508: / 4.6 / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.1 .E4 :0509: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.12/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.9 FT at May-06 1000 PM .ER CHRN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 2.9 .E2 :0507: / 2.9 / 3.0 / 3.1 / 3.2 .E3 :0508: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.4 / 3.5 .E4 :0509: / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.10/ 0.17/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.6 FT at May-06 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 11.8 .E2 :0507: / 11.7 / 11.9 / 12.2 / 12.2 .E3 :0508: / 12.0 / 11.5 / 10.8 / 10.2 .E4 :0509: / 9.8 / 9.6 / 9.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.23/ 0.22/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.1 FT at May-06 0930 PM .ER HNYN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 4.1 .E2 :0507: / 4.4 / 4.7 / 4.9 / 4.8 .E3 :0508: / 4.6 / 4.4 / 4.2 / 4.1 .E4 :0509: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.55/ 0.17/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 688.8 FT at May-06 1015 PM .ER CNDN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 688.8 .E2 :0507: / 688.8 / 688.9 / 688.9 / 689.0 .E3 :0508: / 689.0 / 689.0 / 689.0 / 689.0 .E4 :0509: / 689.0 / 689.0 / 689.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.66/ 0.17/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.1 FT at May-06 0930 PM .ER CPNN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 5.5 .E2 :0507: / 5.7 / 5.7 / 5.7 / 5.6 .E3 :0508: / 5.6 / 5.6 / 5.5 / 5.5 .E4 :0509: / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 6.3 FT at May-06 1000 PM .ER BOON6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 6.6 .E2 :0507: / 7.1 / 7.5 / 7.7 / 7.8 .E3 :0508: / 7.7 / 7.6 / 7.5 / 7.3 .E4 :0509: / 7.2 / 7.1 / 6.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.29/ 0.12/ 0.14/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.1 FT at May-06 0930 PM .ER MCKN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 4.9 .E2 :0507: / 4.9 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 .E3 :0508: / 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.7 .E4 :0509: / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.20/ 0.07/ 0.08/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.4 FT at May-06 0930 PM .ER ARTN6 20250507 E DC202505062240/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0506: / 5.7 .E2 :0507: / 6.0 / 6.4 / 6.6 / 6.7 .E3 :0508: / 6.6 / 6.6 / 6.6 / 6.7 .E4 :0509: / 6.7 / 6.7 / 6.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.31/ 0.14/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...