146
FZUS51 KBUF 170203
NSHBUF

Nearshore Marine Forecast
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1003 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

For waters within five nautical miles of shore

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

LEZ020-170900-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
1003 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.OVERNIGHT...Light and variable winds. Mainly clear.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. Partly to mostly sunny.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely
overnight.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely in the
morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers
in the evening, then showers likely overnight.
.SUNDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to
20 knots. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 5 to
15 knots. Showers likely during the day, then a chance of showers
Monday night.
.TUESDAY...South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers
likely.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

The water temperature off Buffalo is 64 degrees.

$$

LOZ030-170900-
Lower Niagara River-
1003 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.OVERNIGHT...North winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. Partly to mostly sunny.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely
overnight.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely in the
morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely.
.SUNDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers with
a chance of thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers
likely during the day, then a chance of showers Monday night.
.TUESDAY...South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers
likely.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ041-170900-
Dunkirk to Buffalo along Lake Erie-
1003 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.OVERNIGHT...North winds 10 knots or less becoming east.
Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. Partly to mostly sunny. Waves
1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely
overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely in the
morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet
or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers
in the evening, then showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet
building to 7 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
.MONDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely during the day,
then a chance of showers Monday night. Waves 5 to 9 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
.TUESDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and
increasing to 30 knots. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to
6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ040-170900-
Ripley to Dunkirk along Lake Erie-
1003 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.OVERNIGHT...North winds 10 knots or less becoming east.
Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds. Partly to mostly sunny. Waves
1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely
overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely in the
morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet
or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers
in the evening, then showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet
building to 8 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet.
.MONDAY...West winds to 30 knots becoming southwest and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely during the day,
then a chance of showers Monday night. Waves 7 to 10 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
.TUESDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots.
Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves
occasionally around 11 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ042-170900-
Niagara River to Hamlin Beach along Lake Ontario-
1003 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.OVERNIGHT...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast.
Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Partly
to mostly sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south.
A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves
1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers
in the evening, then showers likely overnight. Waves 2 feet or
less.
.SUNDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Showers with
a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 4 to
7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
.MONDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely during the day,
then a chance of showers Monday night. Waves 5 to 9 feet
subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
.TUESDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
25 knots. Showers likely. Waves 1 to 2 feet building to 4 to
7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ043-170900-
Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay along Lake Ontario
including Irondequoit Bay-
1003 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.OVERNIGHT...North winds 10 to 15 knots. Mainly clear.
Waves 2 to 3 feet.
.FRIDAY...North winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Mostly
sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. A
chance of showers in the morning. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south
15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers
likely overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SUNDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest. Showers
with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to
3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
.MONDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. Showers during the day, then a chance of showers Monday
night. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves
occasionally around 10 feet.
.TUESDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
25 knots. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Waves occasionally around 6 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

The water temperature off Rochester is 58 degrees.

$$

LOZ044-170900-
Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay along Lake Ontario-
1003 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.OVERNIGHT...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast.
Clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.FRIDAY...North winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Sunny.
Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers in
the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to
15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest.
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet
building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Showers
during the day, then a chance of showers Monday night. Waves 5 to
9 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around
11 feet.
.TUESDAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 4 to 7 feet.
Waves occasionally around 9 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ045-170900-
Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River along Lake Ontario-
1003 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.OVERNIGHT...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast.
Clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY...Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest.
Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to
10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in
the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south
15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building
to 2 to 4 feet.
.SUNDAY...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south. Showers.
Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally
around 9 feet.
.MONDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Showers during the day, then a
chance of showers Monday night. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to
3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
.TUESDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building
to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.

$$