568
FNUS71 KBUF 241345
FWSBUF

Spot Forecast for Kellogg...NYS DEC...Corrected to add TAF number
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
852 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0850 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A weak warm front will bring increasing clouds and a few light
showers this morning, possibly lingering into the afternoon
across the North Country as the boundary will slows its northward
progression. Otherwise, mainly dry weather will continue through
early Friday with well above average temperatures. Low pressure
will cross the Great Lakes Friday afternoon through early
Saturday, bringing the next round of rain and possibly a few
thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (50 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers this morning.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........32 percent.
20 foot wind........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph becoming south
                    around 6 mph late in the morning, then becoming
                    west late in the afternoon becoming northwest
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 7000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 9 mph becoming southwest 10 to 17
                    mph late in the morning, then becoming west 13
                    to 20 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Max 119 (very good).

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).............57  40  38  40  32  44  56  54  66  63
Weather cov.........ISO
Weather type........RW
Tstm cov............
Temp................50  56  62  67  72  77  78  78  77  76
RH..................74  66  56  50  42  36  35  32  35  37
20 ft wind dir......E   SE  S   S   S   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 ft wind spd......5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 ft wind gust.....7   8   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  8
Mix hgt (kft).......0.4 0.6 1.0 1.8 3.7 5.8 7.0 6.4 4.9 3.3
Transp wind dir.....SE  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.....9   9   9   10  14  17  20  18  16  13
Dispersion idx......3   5   8   16  44  87  119 102 69  36

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55 percent) then becoming partly
                    cloudy (35 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy
                    (60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........93 percent.
20 foot wind........Light winds.
Mixing height.......Min 200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 9 mph becoming northeast around
                    5 mph late in the evening, then becoming
                    southeast late in the evening becoming
                    northeast 3 to 5 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....Min 1 (poor).

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).............61  51  39  30  25  25  31  28  30  44  51  69
Weather cov.........
Weather type........
Tstm cov............
Temp................73  71  65  63  60  58  57  55  53  53  53  51
RH..................44  47  56  62  72  77  77  83  86  86  86  93
20 ft wind dir......NW  NW  NW  W   S   S   S   W   NW  N   NE  E
20 ft wind spd......3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
20 ft wind gust.....6   5   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft).......2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.....NW  N   N   NE  SE  S   SE  NE  N   N   NE  E
Transp wind spd.....9   7   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   5   5
Dispersion idx......17  7   2   1   1   2   2   1   1   1   2   2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........45 percent.
20 foot wind........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 4200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 6 mph becoming south 7 to 14 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    increasing to 17 to 22 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....Max 66 (good).

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).............61  64  72  70  56  66  57  59  60  66  72  78
Weather cov.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov............
Temp................53  53  54  59  64  67  71  74  75  76  75  74
RH..................83  86  90  78  67  61  53  48  46  45  46  48
20 ft wind dir......E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd......2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
20 ft wind gust.....    4   4   5   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft).......0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.9 3.6 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.4
Transp wind dir.....E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.....5   6   6   6   7   8   9   12  14  17  20  22
Dispersion idx......1   2   2   5   9   15  23  36  49  63  66  65

$$

Forecaster...RSH
Requested by...NYS DEC
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511301.0/BUF
.DELDT 04/24/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jeremy.oldroyd@dec.ny.gov